US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish90%
Monthly Upside probability 90%Bullish

MPWR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $392.62 and reclaim $1,713.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $392.62 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 68.5, MACD 67.072

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $207.23 (14.55%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,272.2Bullish
EMA 21$1,016.3Bullish
EMA 50$769.96Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 68.5 · MACD 67.072

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $207.23 · BB 141.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.8 · OBV 76.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$392.62 - $1,713.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.79% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$1,920.3
Nearest resistance

+20.25% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,713.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,424.7
Nearest support

-72.44% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$392.62
Deeper support zone

-86.99% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$185.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,217.4 - $1,631.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,121.2, invalidation $439.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 46.7 / 6.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$824.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,175.1 / $1,008.2Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$207.23 (14.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 141.01%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,513.6 / $545.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,217.4 / $1,631.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$392.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

68.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

67.072Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 86.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

76.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,121.2, invalidation $439.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 46.7 / 6.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$824.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,175.1 / $1,008.2Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

68.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

67.072Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 86.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$207.23 (14.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 141.01%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,513.6 / $545.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,217.4 / $1,631.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

76.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$392.62Range

Related Forecasts