US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish81%
3M Upside probability 81%Bullish

MPWR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $113.69 and reclaim $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $113.69 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 78.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $294.16 (20.43%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,129.9Bullish
EMA 21$808.95Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 78.1 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $294.16 · BB 175.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 71.9 · OBV 27.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$113.69 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.49% · 1.9 ATR above latest close

$2,008.2
Nearest resistance

+19.06% · 0.9 ATR above · 31-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,439.7
Nearest support

-92.1% · 4.5 ATR below · 31-bar low

$113.69
Deeper support zone

-112.53% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

-$180.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,145.6 - $1,733.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $438.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.5 / 33.1 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$428.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,024.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$294.16 (20.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 175.76%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,474.2 / $187.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,145.6 / $1,733.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.2 / 75.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $438.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.5 / 33.1 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$428.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,024.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.2 / 75.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$294.16 (20.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 175.76%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,474.2 / $187.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,145.6 / $1,733.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

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