US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish63%
3M Upside probability 63%Bullish

MPWR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $113.69 and reclaim $1,713.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $113.69 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 79.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $276.77 (19.43%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$963.21Bullish
EMA 21$692.71Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 79.0 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $276.77 · BB 160.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 81.7 · OBV -16.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$113.69 - $1,713.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.68% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$1,989.9
Nearest resistance

+20.25% · 1.0 ATR above · 25-bar high

$1,713.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,424.7
Nearest support

-92.02% · 4.7 ATR below · 25-bar low

$113.69
Deeper support zone

-111.45% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

-$163.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,147.9 - $1,701.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $956.57, invalidation $439.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$461.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$276.77 (19.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 160.48%

121%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,330.4 / $86.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,147.9 / $1,701.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.0 / 78.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

245.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $956.57, invalidation $439.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$461.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.0 / 78.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

245.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$276.77 (19.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 160.48%

121%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,330.4 / $86.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,147.9 / $1,701.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

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