US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish73%
3M Upside probability 73%Bullish

MPWR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $113.69 and reclaim $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $113.69 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 74.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $281.95 (21.45%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,034.2Bullish
EMA 21$742.91Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 74.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $281.95 · BB 166.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 80.5 · OBV 15.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$113.69 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.82% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$1,996
Nearest resistance

+30.38% · 1.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,314.7
Nearest support

-91.35% · 4.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$113.69
Deeper support zone

-112.8% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

-$168.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,032.8 - $1,596.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $959.64, invalidation $438.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 35.2 / 7.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$397.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,004.5 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$281.95 (21.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 166.17%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,393 / $134.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,032.8 / $1,596.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.0 / 76.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

180.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $959.64, invalidation $438.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 35.2 / 7.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$397.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,004.5 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.0 / 76.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

180.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$281.95 (21.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 166.17%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,393 / $134.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,032.8 / $1,596.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.69Range

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