Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BTCUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62,706.1 and stabilize above resistance $65,553.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $65,553.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.2, MACD -329.816

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $914.18 (1.53%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$61,709.2Bearish
EMA 21$62,706.1Bearish
EMA 50$63,411.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.2 · MACD -329.816

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $914.18 · BB 8.04%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.0 · OBV -59.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$59,010.7 - $65,553.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.53% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$66,467.6
Nearest resistance

+9.99% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$65,553.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$59,598.5
Nearest support

-0.99% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,010.7
Deeper support zone

-2.52% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$58,096.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58,684.4 - $60,512.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,862.3, invalidation $62,947.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 13.3 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,985.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61,630.7 / $62,977.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$914.18 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.04%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64,535.9 / $60,785.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,684.4 / $60,512.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65,553.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,010.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-329.816Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-230.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,862.3, invalidation $62,947.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 13.3 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,985.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61,630.7 / $62,977.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-329.816Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-230.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$914.18 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.04%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64,535.9 / $60,785.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,684.4 / $60,512.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65,553.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,010.7Range

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