Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

BTCUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,298.9 and stabilize above resistance 79,852.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 79,852.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.2, MACD 14.597

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 370.03 (0.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 876,996.2Bearish
EMA 2177,298.9Bearish
EMA 5077,823.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 14.597

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 370.03 · BB 2.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.0 · OBV 0.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
76,030 - 79,852.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.48% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

80,222.2
Nearest resistance

+4% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

79,852.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,781.2
Nearest support

-0.98% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

76,030
Deeper support zone

-1.46% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

75,660
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

76,411.1 - 77,151.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,360, invalidation 76,457.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 7.7 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,458Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

77,408.3 / 78,246.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

370.03 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.15%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,100.6 / 76,447.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,411.1 / 77,151.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

79,852.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,030Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

14.597Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 28.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,360, invalidation 76,457.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 7.7 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,458Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

77,408.3 / 78,246.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

14.597Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 28.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

370.03 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.15%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,100.6 / 76,447.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,411.1 / 77,151.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

79,852.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,030Range

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