Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

BTCUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 72,758 and stabilize above resistance 75,998.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 75,998 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.3, MACD -409.707

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 918.68 (1.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 871,187Bearish
EMA 2172,758Bearish
EMA 5074,435.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.3 · MACD -409.707

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 918.68 · BB 8.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.0 · OBV -119.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
68,222 - 75,998

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.34% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

76,916.7
Nearest resistance

+11% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

75,998
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

68,222
Deeper support zone

-1.7% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

67,303.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

67,548.5 - 69,385.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 71,151, invalidation 74,688.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 8.0 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

65,495.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,658.1 / 74,551.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

918.68 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.78%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

74,777.4 / 70,573.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,548.5 / 69,385.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

75,998Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-409.707Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-259.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-119.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 71,151, invalidation 74,688.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 8.0 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

65,495.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,658.1 / 74,551.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-409.707Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-259.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

918.68 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.78%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

74,777.4 / 70,573.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,548.5 / 69,385.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-119.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

75,998Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

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