Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

BTCUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 81,299.4 and stabilize above resistance 84,856.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 84,856.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.2, MACD -149.417

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 659.22 (0.82%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 880,660.8Bearish
EMA 2181,299.4Bearish
EMA 5081,809.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.2 · MACD -149.417

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 659.22 · BB 5.42%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.3 · OBV -16.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
79,475 - 84,856.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.52% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

85,515.3
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

84,856.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,277.7
Nearest support

-1% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

79,475
Deeper support zone

-1.82% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

78,815.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

79,618.5 - 80,936.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 81,962, invalidation 80,452.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.2 / 4.8 / 33.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

78,425.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

81,442 / 82,165.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

659.22 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.42%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

82,580.3 / 79,952.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

79,618.5 / 80,936.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-149.417Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 29.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 81,962, invalidation 80,452.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.2 / 4.8 / 33.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

78,425.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

81,442 / 82,165.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-149.417Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 29.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

659.22 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.42%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

82,580.3 / 79,952.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

79,618.5 / 80,936.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

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