Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish54%
Monthly Downside probability 54%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 79,193.2 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 54.2, MACD -2225.577

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,227.8 (17.83%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 878,116Bullish
EMA 2179,193.2Bullish
EMA 5067,894.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.2 · MACD -2225.577

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 15,227.8 · BB 78.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV 5.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
38,501 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.72% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

141,523.8
Nearest resistance

+47.89% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

85,400
Nearest support

-54.92% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

38,501
Deeper support zone

-72.75% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

23,273.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

70,172.2 - 100,627.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 16.7 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

43,740.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,985.1 / 70,878Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,227.8 (17.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.79%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

106,988.8 / 51,739.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

70,172.2 / 100,627.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2225.577Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.4 / 36.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 16.7 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

43,740.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,985.1 / 70,878Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2225.577Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.4 / 36.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,227.8 (17.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.79%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

106,988.8 / 51,739.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

70,172.2 / 100,627.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,501Range

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