Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,960 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.7, MACD -4788.495

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 16,416.6 (21.2%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 873,637.1Bullish
EMA 2177,960Bearish
EMA 5066,508Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD -4788.495

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 16,416.6 · BB 79.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -20.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
34,079.5 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+84.28% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

142,712.6
Nearest resistance

+63.08% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

77,442.9
Nearest support

-55.99% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

34,079.5
Deeper support zone

-77.19% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

17,662.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

61,026.2 - 93,859.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 18.1 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

22,545.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

16,416.6 (21.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.52%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

110,312.2 / 45,900Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,026.2 / 93,859.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,079.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4788.495Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 18.1 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

22,545.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4788.495Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

16,416.6 (21.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.52%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

110,312.2 / 45,900Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,026.2 / 93,859.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,079.5Range

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