Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 76,670.2 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -5706.602

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,290.2 (24.14%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 870,505.8Bearish
EMA 2176,670.2Bearish
EMA 5065,954.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -5706.602

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 15,290.2 · BB 83.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.3 · OBV -22.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
34,079.5 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+123.49% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

141,586.2
Nearest resistance

+99.36% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

63,351.8
Nearest support

-46.21% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

34,079.5
Deeper support zone

-70.34% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

18,789.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

48,061.5 - 78,642

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 13.5 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

19,391.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,290.2 (24.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.30%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,811.8 / 47,707.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48,061.5 / 78,642Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,079.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5706.602Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 5.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 13.5 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

19,391.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5706.602Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 5.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,290.2 (24.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.30%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,811.8 / 47,707.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48,061.5 / 78,642Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,079.5Range

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