Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish84%
Monthly Downside probability 84%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 78,181.6 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.3, MACD -5952.440

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,935.7 (24.59%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 872,988.7Bearish
EMA 2178,181.6Bearish
EMA 5066,138.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD -5952.440

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 15,935.7 · BB 77.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -17.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
26,521.3 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+119.49% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

142,231.7
Nearest resistance

+94.9% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

64,801.1
Nearest support

-59.07% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

26,521.3
Deeper support zone

-83.66% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

10,585.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

48,865.4 - 80,736.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 13.0 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

11,991.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

86,071.4 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,935.7 (24.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.43%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

111,289.2 / 45,428.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48,865.4 / 80,736.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

26,521.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5952.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 10.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-128.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,001, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 13.0 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

11,991.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

86,071.4 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5952.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 10.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-128.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,935.7 (24.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.43%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

111,289.2 / 45,428.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48,865.4 / 80,736.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

26,521.3Range

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