Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,956.6 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.3, MACD -3768.119

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,711 (20.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 874,529.3Bullish
EMA 2177,956.6Bearish
EMA 5066,914.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD -3768.119

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 15,711 · BB 79.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -11.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
37,618.3 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+84.95% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

142,007
Nearest resistance

+64.49% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,781.2
Nearest support

-51.01% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

37,618.3
Deeper support zone

-71.47% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

21,907.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

61,070.2 - 92,492.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 14.4 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

37,586.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,711 (20.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.81%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,796.6 / 50,370.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,070.2 / 92,492.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

37,618.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3768.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.8 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 14.4 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

37,586.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,756.8 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3768.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.8 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,711 (20.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.81%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,796.6 / 50,370.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,070.2 / 92,492.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

37,618.3Range

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