Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish68%
Monthly Downside probability 68%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79,909 and stabilize above resistance $126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -5940.681

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16,666.1 (26.51%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$76,295.6Bearish
EMA 21$79,909Bearish
EMA 50$66,326.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -5940.681

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16,666.1 · BB 70.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.5 · OBV -24.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$24,900 - $126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+127.36% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$142,962.1
Nearest resistance

+100.86% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,878.2
Nearest support

-60.4% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$24,900
Deeper support zone

-86.91% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$8,233.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$46,212.1 - $79,544.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,296, invalidation $60,001

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 19.3 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16,429.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90,178.8 / $70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16,666.1 (26.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.29%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113,593.3 / $46,797.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46,212.1 / $79,544.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$24,900Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5940.681Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.7 / 16.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,296, invalidation $60,001

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 19.3 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16,429.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90,178.8 / $70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5940.681Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.7 / 16.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16,666.1 (26.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.29%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113,593.3 / $46,797.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46,212.1 / $79,544.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$24,900Range

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