Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,587.2 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -2776.457

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,879.7 (23.19%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 874,593.3Bearish
EMA 2177,587.2Bearish
EMA 5067,223Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -2776.457

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 15,879.7 · BB 82.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -15.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
41,846 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+107.66% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

142,175.7
Nearest resistance

+84.46% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-38.88% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

41,846
Deeper support zone

-62.07% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

25,966.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

52,587.5 - 84,346.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,397, invalidation 57,717.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 16.0 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

33,972.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,282 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,879.7 (23.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.47%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

104,794.6 / 50,523Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,587.5 / 84,346.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

41,846Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2776.457Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,397, invalidation 57,717.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 16.0 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

33,972.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,282 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2776.457Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.7 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,879.7 (23.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.47%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

104,794.6 / 50,523Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,587.5 / 84,346.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

41,846Range

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