Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

BTCUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 78,743.2 and stabilize above resistance 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,296 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.7, MACD -2531.804

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,487.2 (19.29%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 876,977.7Bullish
EMA 2178,743.2Bullish
EMA 5067,479.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.7 · MACD -2531.804

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 15,487.2 · BB 79.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.4 · OBV 0.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
38,501 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+76.62% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

141,783.2
Nearest resistance

+57.32% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,277.7
Nearest support

-52.04% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

38,501
Deeper support zone

-71.33% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

23,013.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

64,790.5 - 95,764.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 16.4 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

40,835.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,985.1 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,487.2 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.32%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107,236.5 / 50,534.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

64,790.5 / 95,764.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2531.804Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 33.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 82,814.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 16.4 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

40,835.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,985.1 / 70,878Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2531.804Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 33.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,487.2 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.32%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107,236.5 / 50,534.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

64,790.5 / 95,764.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,501Range

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