Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,467.6 and stabilize above resistance 2,807.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,807.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.8, MACD -9.595

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 97.17 (4.11%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,409Bearish
EMA 212,467.6Bearish
EMA 502,468.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.8 · MACD -9.595

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 97.17 · BB 15.00%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV -184.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
2,313.1 - 2,807.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.93% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

2,904.3
Nearest resistance

+18.81% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,807.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,362.6
Nearest support

-2.1% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,313.1
Deeper support zone

-6.21% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

2,215.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,265.4 - 2,459.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,524.4, invalidation 2,325.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.2 / 11.7 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,101.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,484.9 / 2,560.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

97.17 (4.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.00%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,646.4 / 2,282.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,265.4 / 2,459.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,807.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,313.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.595Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.8 / 24.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-184.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,524.4, invalidation 2,325.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.2 / 11.7 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,101.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,484.9 / 2,560.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.595Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.8 / 24.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

97.17 (4.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.00%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,646.4 / 2,282.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,265.4 / 2,459.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-184.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,807.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,313.1Range

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