Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 hourBearish78%
1h Downside probability 78%Bearish

BTCUSD 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 71,141.9 and stabilize above resistance 74,688.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 74,688.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 10.3, MACD -265.392

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 492.39 (0.72%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 869,920.2Bearish
EMA 2171,141.9Bearish
EMA 5072,349.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 10.3 · MACD -265.392

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 492.39 · BB 7.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -56.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
68,222 - 74,688.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.81% · 13.6 ATR above latest close

75,180.8
Nearest resistance

+9.09% · 12.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

74,688.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

68,222
Deeper support zone

-1.08% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

67,729.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

67,974.8 - 68,959.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,688.4, invalidation 71,151

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.5 / 10.7 / 54.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

66,835.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

70,419.3 / 71,455.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

492.39 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.13%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

72,093.8 / 70,054.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,974.8 / 68,959.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

74,688.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

10.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-265.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-225.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,688.4, invalidation 71,151

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.5 / 10.7 / 54.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

66,835.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

70,419.3 / 71,455.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

10.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-265.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-225.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

492.39 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.13%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

72,093.8 / 70,054.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,974.8 / 68,959.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

74,688.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

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