Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 hourBearish86%
1h Downside probability 86%Bearish

BTCUSD 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 80,548.4 and stabilize above resistance 81,962.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 81,962 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.5, MACD 26.111

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 258.83 (0.32%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 880,356.7Bearish
EMA 2180,548.4Bearish
EMA 5081,017.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.5 · MACD 26.111

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 258.83 · BB 1.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.2 · OBV -28.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
79,475 - 81,962

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.42% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

82,220.8
Nearest resistance

+2.1% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

81,962
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,277.7
Nearest support

-1% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

79,475
Deeper support zone

-1.32% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

79,216.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

80,018.9 - 80,536.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,475, invalidation 80,539.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 15.7 / 54.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

79,428.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,274.6 / 80,718.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

258.83 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.25%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

81,141 / 79,921.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,018.9 / 80,536.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,962Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

26.111Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.0 / 71.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,475, invalidation 80,539.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 15.7 / 54.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

79,428.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

80,274.6 / 80,718.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

26.111Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.0 / 71.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

258.83 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.25%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

81,141 / 79,921.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,018.9 / 80,536.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,962Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

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