Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 hourBearish69%
1h Downside probability 69%Bearish

BTCUSD 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,015.5 and stabilize above resistance 77,403.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 77,403.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.6, MACD -31.790

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 215.67 (0.28%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 876,915Bearish
EMA 2177,015.5Bearish
EMA 5077,155.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.6 · MACD -31.790

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 215.67 · BB 1.41%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 64.5 · OBV 0.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
76,347.3 - 77,403.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.09% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

77,619.4
Nearest resistance

+0.81% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

77,403.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,781.2
Nearest support

-0.57% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

76,347.3
Deeper support zone

-0.85% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

76,131.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

76,565.5 - 76,996.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,360, invalidation 76,457.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 40.1 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

76,133.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

76,853.6 / 76,921.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

215.67 (0.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

77,430.1 / 76,590.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,565.5 / 76,996.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

77,403.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,347.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-31.790Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 35.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,360, invalidation 76,457.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 40.1 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

76,133.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

76,853.6 / 76,921.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-31.790Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 35.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

215.67 (0.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

77,430.1 / 76,590.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,565.5 / 76,996.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

77,403.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,347.3Range

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