Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

12 hoursBearish80%
12h Downside probability 80%Bearish

BTCUSD 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 81,887.9 and stabilize above resistance 84,856.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 84,856.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -161.745

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,311.4 (1.63%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 881,267Bearish
EMA 2181,887.9Bearish
EMA 5082,271.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -161.745

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,311.4 · BB 4.49%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.9 · OBV -7.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
79,475 - 84,856.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.34% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

86,167.5
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

84,856.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,277.7
Nearest support

-1% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

79,475
Deeper support zone

-2.63% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

78,163.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

78,966.3 - 81,589.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 81,962, invalidation 81,185.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 22.7 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,989.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,165.5 / 83,362Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,311.4 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.49%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

84,602.7 / 79,106.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78,966.3 / 81,589.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-161.745Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 9.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 81,962, invalidation 81,185.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 22.7 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,989.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,165.5 / 83,362Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-161.745Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 9.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,311.4 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.49%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

84,602.7 / 79,106.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78,966.3 / 81,589.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

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