Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

BTCUSD 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,658 and stabilize above resistance 81,804.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 81,804.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -322.612

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,161.6 (1.51%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 877,102.6Bearish
EMA 2177,658Bearish
EMA 5076,252.5Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -322.612

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,161.6 · BB 6.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.2 · OBV 0.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
76,030 - 81,804.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.05% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

82,965.6
Nearest resistance

+6.54% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

81,804.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,781.2
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

76,030
Deeper support zone

-2.49% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

74,868.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

75,619.6 - 77,942.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,852.2, invalidation 76,030

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 20.4 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73,187.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

78,429.1 / 73,110.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,161.6 (1.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.18%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

79,991.4 / 75,311.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

75,619.6 / 77,942.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,804.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,030Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-322.612Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,852.2, invalidation 76,030

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 20.4 / 26.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73,187.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

78,429.1 / 73,110.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-322.612Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,161.6 (1.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.18%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

79,991.4 / 75,311.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

75,619.6 / 77,942.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,804.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,030Range

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