Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

12 hoursBearish85%
12h Downside probability 85%Bearish

BTCUSD 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 74,657.1 and stabilize above resistance 81,890.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 81,890 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 20.7, MACD -450.216

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,439.9 (2.1%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 872,431.9Bearish
EMA 2174,657.1Bearish
EMA 5077,168.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 20.7 · MACD -450.216

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,439.9 · BB 14.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -157.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
68,222 - 81,890

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.71% · 10.3 ATR above latest close

83,329.9
Nearest resistance

+19.6% · 9.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

81,890
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

68,222
Deeper support zone

-2.46% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

66,782.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

67,027.3 - 69,907.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 72,643.5, invalidation 75,998

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.0 / 3.0 / 46.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

64,594.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

73,206.2 / 76,539Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,439.9 (2.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.25%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,016.6 / 71,041.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,027.3 / 69,907.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,890Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

20.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-450.216Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 5.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-217.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-157.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 72,643.5, invalidation 75,998

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.0 / 3.0 / 46.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

64,594.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

73,206.2 / 76,539Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

20.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-450.216Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 5.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-217.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,439.9 (2.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.25%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,016.6 / 71,041.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,027.3 / 69,907.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-157.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

81,890Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

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