Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BTCUSD 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $63,373.5 and stabilize above resistance $67,264.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $67,264 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.4, MACD -262.395

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1,425.9 (2.39%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$62,358.6Bearish
EMA 21$63,373.5Bearish
EMA 50$65,502.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.4 · MACD -262.395

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1,425.9 · BB 9.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.5 · OBV -30.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$59,010.7 - $67,264

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.25% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$68,689.9
Nearest resistance

+12.86% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$67,264
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$59,598.5
Nearest support

-0.99% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,010.7
Deeper support zone

-3.38% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$57,584.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58,172.6 - $61,024.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,862.3, invalidation $65,553.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 15.2 / 37.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,600.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62,709.7 / $66,583.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,425.9 (2.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.91%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66,216.7 / $60,416Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,172.6 / $61,024.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$67,264Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,010.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-262.395Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-199.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.46xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,862.3, invalidation $65,553.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 15.2 / 37.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,600.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62,709.7 / $66,583.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-262.395Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-199.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,425.9 (2.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.91%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66,216.7 / $60,416Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,172.6 / $61,024.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.46xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$67,264Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,010.7Range

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