Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish62%
Weekly Downside probability 62%Bearish

BTCUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 75,801.5 and stabilize above resistance 87,397.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 87,397 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.3, MACD -188.304

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 6,503.6 (9.5%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 876,505.1Bearish
EMA 2175,801.5Bearish
EMA 5078,000.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD -188.304

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 6,503.6 · BB 44.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.7 · OBV 0.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
57,717.6 - 87,397

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.15% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

93,900.6
Nearest resistance

+27.65% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

87,397
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-15.7% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

57,717.6
Deeper support zone

-25.2% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

51,213.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

61,963.6 - 74,970.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,397, invalidation 74,887.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.8 / 26.9 / 15.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

53,721.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

75,183.4 / 77,840.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

6,503.6 (9.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.07%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

87,935.9 / 63,749.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,963.6 / 74,970.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-188.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,397, invalidation 74,887.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.8 / 26.9 / 15.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

53,721.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

75,183.4 / 77,840.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-188.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

6,503.6 (9.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.07%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

87,935.9 / 63,749.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,963.6 / 74,970.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

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