Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

BTCUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 70,959.3 and stabilize above resistance 97,963.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 97,963.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -5.914

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 6,003.3 (9.23%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 865,694.6Bearish
EMA 2170,959.3Bearish
EMA 5079,523.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -5.914

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 6,003.3 · BB 36.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.3 · OBV 5.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
57,717.6 - 97,963.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.84% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

103,966.9
Nearest resistance

+50.61% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

97,963.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

65,046.2
Nearest support

-11.27% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

57,717.6
Deeper support zone

-20.5% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

51,714.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

59,042.9 - 71,049.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 82,814.2, invalidation 57,717.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 14.3 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

45,230.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,797.2 / 92,006.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

6,003.3 (9.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.19%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

82,801.6 / 58,297.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

59,042.9 / 71,049.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

97,963.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.914Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 25.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 82,814.2, invalidation 57,717.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 14.3 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

45,230.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,797.2 / 92,006.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.914Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 25.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

6,003.3 (9.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.19%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

82,801.6 / 58,297.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

59,042.9 / 71,049.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

97,963.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

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