Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

BTCUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $73,516.2 and stabilize above resistance $110,749.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $110,749 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -190.006

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5,972.8 (9.5%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$68,079.2Bearish
EMA 21$73,516.2Bearish
EMA 50$81,618.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -190.006

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5,972.8 · BB 32.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV -3.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$59,073 - $110,749

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+85.63% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$116,721.8
Nearest resistance

+76.13% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110,749
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,878.2
Nearest support

-6.05% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,073
Deeper support zone

-15.55% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$53,100.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$56,905.4 - $68,851.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82,814.2, invalidation $59,073

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.0 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46,004.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74,731 / $92,684.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5,972.8 (9.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.42%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84,909.8 / $61,305Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56,905.4 / $68,851.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110,749Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,073Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82,814.2, invalidation $59,073

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.0 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46,004.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74,731 / $92,684.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5,972.8 (9.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.42%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84,909.8 / $61,305Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56,905.4 / $68,851.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110,749Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,073Range

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