Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish65%
Daily Downside probability 65%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65,250.9 and stabilize above resistance $78,134.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $78,134.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD 388.931

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1,907.7 (3.04%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63,737.5Bearish
EMA 21$65,250.9Bearish
EMA 50$68,828.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD 388.931

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1,907.7 · BB 9.11%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.3 · OBV -24.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$59,130.9 - $78,134.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.59% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$80,041.8
Nearest resistance

+24.55% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$78,134.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,734.6
Nearest support

-5.74% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,130.9
Deeper support zone

-8.79% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$57,223.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$60,826.9 - $64,642.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67,292.2, invalidation $62,272.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 23.9 / 16.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57,324.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65,718.8 / $70,972.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,907.7 (3.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68,952.2 / $61,242.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60,826.9 / $64,642.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78,134.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,130.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

388.931Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 39.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67,292.2, invalidation $62,272.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 23.9 / 16.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57,324.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65,718.8 / $70,972.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

388.931Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 39.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,907.7 (3.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68,952.2 / $61,242.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60,826.9 / $64,642.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78,134.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,130.9Range

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