Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish68%
Daily Downside probability 68%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65,387.5 and stabilize above resistance $78,123.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $78,123.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.2, MACD 335.522

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1,788.9 (2.84%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63,523Bearish
EMA 21$65,387.5Bearish
EMA 50$69,123.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.2 · MACD 335.522

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1,788.9 · BB 9.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 56.4 · OBV -7.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$59,073 - $78,123.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.09% · 9.5 ATR above latest close

$79,912.6
Nearest resistance

+24.25% · 8.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$78,123.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,878.2
Nearest support

-6.05% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,073
Deeper support zone

-8.9% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$57,284.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61,089.4 - $64,667.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $65,553.4, invalidation $62,159.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 25.6 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57,525Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65,978.2 / $70,943.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,788.9 (2.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.12%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68,728.1 / $61,700.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61,089.4 / $64,667.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78,123.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,073Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

335.522Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.6 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $65,553.4, invalidation $62,159.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 25.6 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57,525Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65,978.2 / $70,943.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

335.522Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.6 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1,788.9 (2.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.12%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68,728.1 / $61,700.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61,089.4 / $64,667.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78,123.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,073Range

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