Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish71%
Daily Downside probability 71%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 63,927.1 and stabilize above resistance 66,924.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 66,924 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.5, MACD -181.331

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 1,578.2 (2.49%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 863,666Bearish
EMA 2163,927.1Bearish
EMA 5064,745.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.5 · MACD -181.331

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,578.2 · BB 5.94%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.5 · OBV 7.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
57,717.6 - 66,924

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.87% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

68,502.1
Nearest resistance

+5.39% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

66,924
Current price

Price shown is delayed

63,503.9
Nearest support

-9.11% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

57,717.6
Deeper support zone

-11.6% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

56,139.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

61,925.7 - 65,082

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 62,209.8, invalidation 65,360

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 18.1 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

58,528.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

64,118.7 / 62,490.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

1,578.2 (2.49%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.94%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

66,965.8 / 60,878.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,925.7 / 65,082Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

66,924Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-181.331Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 22.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 62,209.8, invalidation 65,360

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 18.1 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

58,528.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

64,118.7 / 62,490.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-181.331Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 22.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

1,578.2 (2.49%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.94%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

66,965.8 / 60,878.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,925.7 / 65,082Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

66,924Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,717.6Range

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