Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish73%
Daily Downside probability 73%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 82,764.6 and stabilize above resistance 87,397.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 87,397 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -509.139

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 2,014.5 (2.46%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 882,494.9Bearish
EMA 2182,764.6Bearish
EMA 5080,400.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -509.139

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 2,014.5 · BB 6.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.9 · OBV -8.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
74,887.5 - 87,397

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.07% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

89,411.5
Nearest resistance

+6.61% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

87,397
Current price

Price shown is delayed

81,979.4
Nearest support

-8.65% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

74,887.5
Deeper support zone

-11.11% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

72,873
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

79,964.9 - 83,994

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 80,314.7, invalidation 84,262

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 10.6 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,564.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,752.8 / 81,142.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,014.5 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.70%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

87,169.2 / 78,423.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

79,964.9 / 83,994Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

74,887.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-509.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.5 / 27.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 80,314.7, invalidation 84,262

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 10.6 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,564.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,752.8 / 81,142.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-509.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.5 / 27.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,014.5 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.70%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

87,169.2 / 78,423.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

79,964.9 / 83,994Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

74,887.5Range

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