Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish66%
Daily Downside probability 66%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 76,852.5 and stabilize above resistance 82,283.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 82,283 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 53.2, MACD -787.259

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 1,984.4 (2.58%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 877,448.7Bearish
EMA 2176,852.5Bearish
EMA 5073,331.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.2 · MACD -787.259

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,984.4 · BB 6.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.8 · OBV -3.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
62,468.2 - 82,283

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.72% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

84,267.4
Nearest resistance

+7.13% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

82,283
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,804.9
Nearest support

-18.67% · 7.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

62,468.2
Deeper support zone

-21.25% · 8.2 ATR below latest close

60,483.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

74,820.6 - 78,789.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 76,030, invalidation 79,852.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 23.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

72,248.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

76,932.6 / 72,246.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

1,984.4 (2.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.74%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

80,024.7 / 73,922.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

74,820.6 / 78,789.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

82,283Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

62,468.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-787.259Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.00xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 76,030, invalidation 79,852.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.9 / 23.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

72,248.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

76,932.6 / 72,246.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-787.259Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

1,984.4 (2.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.74%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

80,024.7 / 73,922.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

74,820.6 / 78,789.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.00xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

82,283Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

62,468.2Range

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