Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish80%
Daily Downside probability 80%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 82,228.3 and stabilize above resistance 87,397.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 87,397 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -307.199

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 2,158.7 (2.68%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 881,715.1Bearish
EMA 2182,228.3Bearish
EMA 5080,783.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -307.199

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 2,158.7 · BB 6.64%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.2 · OBV -7.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
79,475 - 87,397

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.28% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

89,555.7
Nearest resistance

+8.6% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

87,397
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,475.7
Nearest support

-1.24% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

79,475
Deeper support zone

-3.93% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

77,316.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

78,317 - 82,634.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 84,856.1, invalidation 80,564.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 14.0 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

74,193.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,763.8 / 81,142.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,158.7 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.64%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

86,287.7 / 78,157.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78,317 / 82,634.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-307.199Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 25.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 84,856.1, invalidation 80,564.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 14.0 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

74,193.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,763.8 / 81,142.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-307.199Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 25.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,158.7 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.64%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

86,287.7 / 78,157.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78,317 / 82,634.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

87,397Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,475Range

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