Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 dayBearish85%
Daily Downside probability 85%Bearish

BTCUSD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 76,130.7 and stabilize above resistance 84,856.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 84,856.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.0, MACD -697.487

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 2,451.7 (3.58%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 873,124.4Bearish
EMA 2176,130.7Bearish
EMA 5078,128.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.0 · MACD -697.487

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 2,451.7 · BB 16.48%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV -12.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
68,222 - 84,856.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.52% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

87,307.7
Nearest resistance

+23.94% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

84,856.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

68,222
Deeper support zone

-3.94% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

65,770.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

66,015.5 - 70,918.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 76,141, invalidation 81,130.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 11.1 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

61,200.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

75,536 / 77,752.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,451.7 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.48%

-14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

81,719.1 / 70,218.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

66,015.5 / 70,918.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-697.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-208.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 76,141, invalidation 81,130.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 11.1 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

61,200.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

75,536 / 77,752.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-697.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-208.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

2,451.7 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.48%

-14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

81,719.1 / 70,218.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

66,015.5 / 70,918.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,856.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

68,222Range

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