Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsBullish67%
3M Upside probability 67%Bullish

BTCUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 11,201 and reclaim 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 11,201 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 27,380.3 (34.11%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 878,033.1Bullish
EMA 2159,831.6Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.1 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 27,380.3 · BB 195.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.2 · OBV -149.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
11,201 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+91.43% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

153,676.3
Nearest resistance

+57.32% · 1.7 ATR above · 25-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

80,277.7
Nearest support

-86.05% · 2.5 ATR below · 25-bar low

11,201
Deeper support zone

-120.15% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

-16,179.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

52,897.4 - 107,658.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 87,397

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-8,519.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

27,380.3 (34.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 195.86%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

122,492 / -16.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,897.4 / 107,658.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

11,201Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 50.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-149.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 87,397

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-8,519.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 50.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

27,380.3 (34.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 195.86%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

122,492 / -16.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,897.4 / 107,658.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-149.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

11,201Range

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