Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsBullish81%
3M Upside probability 81%Bullish

BTCUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 9,813 and reclaim 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 9,813 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 26,937.9 (35.08%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 875,800.2Bullish
EMA 2156,994.9Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 26,937.9 · BB 199.39%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.6 · OBV -82.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
9,813 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+99.57% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

153,233.9
Nearest resistance

+64.49% · 1.8 ATR above · 25-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,781.2
Nearest support

-87.22% · 2.5 ATR below · 25-bar low

9,813
Deeper support zone

-122.3% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

-17,124.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

49,843.3 - 103,719

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 126,296, invalidation 74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-22,898.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

26,937.9 (35.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 199.39%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

121,360.2 / -2,504.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

49,843.3 / 103,719Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

9,813Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.2 / 45.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-82.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 126,296, invalidation 74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-22,898.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.2 / 45.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

26,937.9 (35.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 199.39%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

121,360.2 / -2,504.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

49,843.3 / 103,719Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-82.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

9,813Range

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