Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsBullish64%
3M Upside probability 64%Bullish

BTCUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 8,905.8 and reclaim 126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 8,905.8 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 25,707.3 (39.67%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 873,138Bearish
EMA 2155,905.9Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.6 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 25,707.3 · BB 199.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 66.9 · OBV -91.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
8,905.8 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+134.57% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

152,003.3
Nearest resistance

+94.9% · 2.4 ATR above · 25-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

64,801.1
Nearest support

-86.26% · 2.2 ATR below · 25-bar low

8,905.8
Deeper support zone

-125.93% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

-16,801.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

39,093.8 - 90,508.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 126,296, invalidation 74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-26,343.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

25,707.3 (39.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 199.58%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

116,773.6 / -199.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

39,093.8 / 90,508.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

8,905.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-91.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 126,296, invalidation 74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-26,343.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

25,707.3 (39.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 199.58%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

116,773.6 / -199.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

39,093.8 / 90,508.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-91.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

8,905.8Range

Related Forecasts