Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsRange53%
3M Range probability 94%Range

BTCUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of 13,215 - 126,296 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 28,184.1 (41.16%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 875,408.6Bearish
EMA 2158,757.9Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 28,184.1 · BB 195.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 66.3 · OBV -159.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
13,215 - 126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+125.63% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

154,480.1
Nearest resistance

+84.46% · 2.1 ATR above · 25-bar high

126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,467.2
Nearest support

-80.7% · 2.0 ATR below · 25-bar low

13,215
Deeper support zone

-121.86% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

-14,969.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

40,283.1 - 96,651.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 87,397

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-17,522.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

28,184.1 (41.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 195.83%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

123,617.8 / -3,392.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

40,283.1 / 96,651.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

13,215Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 46.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

40.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-159.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,717.6, invalidation 87,397

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-17,522.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 46.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

40.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

28,184.1 (41.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 195.83%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

123,617.8 / -3,392.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

40,283.1 / 96,651.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-159.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

13,215Range

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