Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / US Dollar

BTCUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsBullish64%
3M Upside probability 64%Bullish

BTCUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $8,815 and reclaim $126,296.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $8,815 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $26,013.7 (41.37%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$76,404.3Bearish
EMA 21$56,382.7Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $26,013.7 · BB 203.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 69.3 · OBV -65.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$8,815 - $126,296

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+142.23% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$152,309.7
Nearest resistance

+100.86% · 2.4 ATR above · 25-bar high

$126,296
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,878.2
Nearest support

-85.98% · 2.1 ATR below · 25-bar low

$8,815
Deeper support zone

-127.35% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

-$17,198.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$36,864.5 - $88,892

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,296, invalidation $74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$24,863.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26,013.7 (41.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 203.41%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122,776 / -$4,966.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36,864.5 / $88,892Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8,815Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.2 / 51.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-65.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,296, invalidation $74,420.7

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$24,863.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.2 / 51.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26,013.7 (41.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 203.41%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122,776 / -$4,966.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36,864.5 / $88,892Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-65.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,296Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8,815Range

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