US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish71%
4h Upside probability 71%Bullish

ACGL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $92.3 and reclaim $96.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $92.3 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.6, MACD 0.196

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9779 (1.03%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$94.51Bullish
EMA 21$94.48Bullish
EMA 50$95.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD 0.196

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.9779 · BB 3.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.7 · OBV 66.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$92.3 - $96.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.31% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$97.96
Nearest resistance

+2.28% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$96.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.82
Nearest support

-2.66% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.3
Deeper support zone

-3.69% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$91.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.84 - $95.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.3, invalidation $93.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 20.3 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94 / $95.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9779 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.19%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.21 / $92.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.84 / $95.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$96.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.196Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.1 / 86.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

66.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.3, invalidation $93.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 20.3 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94 / $95.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.196Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.1 / 86.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9779 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.19%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.21 / $92.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.84 / $95.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

66.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$96.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.3Range

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