US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish60%
4h Upside probability 60%Bullish

ACGL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $94.78 and reclaim $100.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $94.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.2, MACD 0.105

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9299 (0.96%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$96.86Bullish
EMA 21$96.96Bullish
EMA 50$97.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD 0.105

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.9299 · BB 2.65%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.0 · OBV -19.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$94.78 - $100.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.61% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$101.44
Nearest resistance

+3.65% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.97
Nearest support

-2.26% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.78
Deeper support zone

-3.22% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$93.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.04 - $97.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.99, invalidation $97.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 25.0 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.22 / $98.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9299 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.65%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.09 / $94.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.04 / $97.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.105Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.1 / 44.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.99, invalidation $97.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 25.0 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.22 / $98.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.105Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.1 / 44.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9299 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.65%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.09 / $94.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.04 / $97.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

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