US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish83%
4h Upside probability 83%Bullish

ACGL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $87.25 and reclaim $93.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $87.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.7, MACD 0.222

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.01 (1.08%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$92.52Bullish
EMA 21$91.93Bullish
EMA 50$92.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.7 · MACD 0.222

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.01 · BB 3.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV -26.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$87.25 - $93.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.24% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$94.87
Nearest resistance

+0.16% · 0.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.71
Nearest support

-6.89% · 6.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.25
Deeper support zone

-7.97% · 7.4 ATR below latest close

$86.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.69 - $94.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.37, invalidation $90.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 32.0 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.73 / $92.32Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.70%

104%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.07 / $89.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.69 / $94.72Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.8 / 82.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

173.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.37, invalidation $90.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 32.0 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.73 / $92.32Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.8 / 82.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

173.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.70%

104%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.07 / $89.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.69 / $94.72Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.25Range

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