US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBullish79%
Daily Upside probability 79%Bullish

PGR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $203.08 and reclaim $239.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $203.08 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.7, MACD -0.056

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.98 (2.31%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$213.91Bullish
EMA 21$214.22Bullish
EMA 50$212.28Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.7 · MACD -0.056

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.98 · BB 13.32%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.1 · OBV -0.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$203.08 - $239.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.48% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$244.36
Nearest resistance

+11.17% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$239.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.33
Nearest support

-5.69% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$203.08
Deeper support zone

-8% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$198.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$210.35 - $220.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.1, invalidation $205.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 35.3 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.87 / $214.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.98 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.32%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.97 / $204.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.35 / $220.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.056Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.1 / 56.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

13.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.1, invalidation $205.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 35.3 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.87 / $214.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.056Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.1 / 56.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

13.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.98 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.32%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.97 / $204.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.35 / $220.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.08Range

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