US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBullish89%
Daily Upside probability 89%Bullish

PGR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $203.08 and reclaim $231.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $203.08 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.0, MACD 0.721

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.26 (1.96%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$218.36Bearish
EMA 21$216.18Bullish
EMA 50$213.92Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.0 · MACD 0.721

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.26 · BB 9.14%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.4 · OBV 3.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$203.08 - $231.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.36% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$235.84
Nearest resistance

+6.4% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$231.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$217.65
Nearest support

-6.69% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$203.08
Deeper support zone

-8.65% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$198.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.39 - $221.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.26, invalidation $205.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 31.6 / 25.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.95 / $220.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.14%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$225.16 / $207.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.39 / $221.91Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$231.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.721Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.5 / 73.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.26, invalidation $205.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 31.6 / 25.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.95 / $220.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.721Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.5 / 73.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.14%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$225.16 / $207.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.39 / $221.91Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$231.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.08Range

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