US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBullish92%
Daily Upside probability 92%Bullish

PGR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $189.31 and reclaim $224.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $189.31 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.3, MACD 2.321

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.25 (2.34%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$215.69Bullish
EMA 21$208.35Bullish
EMA 50$204.33Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.3 · MACD 2.321

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.25 · BB 17.62%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.8 · OBV 29.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$189.31 - $224.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.45% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$229.73
Nearest resistance

+0.1% · 0.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$224.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.25
Nearest support

-15.58% · 6.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$189.31
Deeper support zone

-17.92% · 7.6 ATR below latest close

$184.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$219 - $229.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.3, invalidation $201.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.1 / 34.7 / 6.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.03 / $206.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.25 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.62%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.25 / $197.12Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219 / $229.51Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.321Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.1 / 89.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.3, invalidation $201.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.1 / 34.7 / 6.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.03 / $206.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.321Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.1 / 89.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.25 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.62%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.25 / $197.12Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219 / $229.51Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.31Range

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