US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish92%
1h Upside probability 92%Bullish

ACGL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $97.92 and reclaim $103.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $97.92 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.8, MACD 0.184

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5994 (0.59%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$101.26Bullish
EMA 21$100.84Bullish
EMA 50$100.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.8 · MACD 0.184

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.5994 · BB 5.40%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 61.1 · OBV 29.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$97.92 - $103.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.49% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$103.87
Nearest resistance

+1.89% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$103.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.35
Nearest support

-3.38% · 5.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$97.92
Deeper support zone

-3.98% · 6.7 ATR below latest close

$97.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.75 - $101.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.88, invalidation $100.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.0 / 43.5 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.93 / $100.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5994 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.40%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.26 / $99.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.75 / $101.95Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$97.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.184Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.2 / 58.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.93xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.88, invalidation $100.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.0 / 43.5 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.93 / $100.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.184Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.2 / 58.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5994 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.40%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.26 / $99.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.75 / $101.95Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.93xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$97.92Range

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