US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

ACGL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.98 and stabilize above resistance $98.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $98.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.1, MACD -0.038

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4852 (0.5%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$96.98Bearish
EMA 21$96.98Bearish
EMA 50$96.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -0.038

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.4852 · BB 1.97%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.9 · OBV -74.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.69 - $98.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.87% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$98.79
Nearest resistance

+1.37% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$98.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.97
Nearest support

-1.33% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.69
Deeper support zone

-1.83% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$95.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.48 - $97.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.48, invalidation $96.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.0 / 24.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.98 / $96.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4852 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.97%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.01 / $95.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.48 / $97.46Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$98.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.038Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.8 / 45.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.48, invalidation $96.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.0 / 24.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.98 / $96.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.038Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.8 / 45.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4852 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.97%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.01 / $95.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.48 / $97.46Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$98.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.69Range

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