US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish65%
Daily Downside probability 65%Bearish

ERIE 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $235.31 and stabilize above resistance $262.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $262.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -3.315

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.1 (4.88%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$232.85Bearish
EMA 21$235.31Bearish
EMA 50$233.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -3.315

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.1 · BB 24.76%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.9 · OBV 1884.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$204.63 - $262.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.45% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$273.8
Nearest resistance

+15.57% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$262.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.31
Nearest support

-9.98% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$204.63
Deeper support zone

-14.86% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$193.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.21 - $238.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.64, invalidation $256.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 17.4 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.62 / $233.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.1 (4.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.76%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$260.18 / $210.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.21 / $238.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$262.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 37.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1884.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.64, invalidation $256.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 17.4 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.62 / $233.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 37.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.1 (4.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.76%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$260.18 / $210.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.21 / $238.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1884.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$262.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$204.63Range

Related Forecasts