US stock / ETF

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

ERIE 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $250.97 and stabilize above resistance $270.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $270.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -1.640

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.11 (2.89%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$248.44Bearish
EMA 21$250.97Bearish
EMA 50$247.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -1.640

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.11 · BB 11.32%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.2 · OBV -15.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$230.25 - $270.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.03% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$277.58
Nearest resistance

+10.14% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$270.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.58
Nearest support

-6.24% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$230.25
Deeper support zone

-9.14% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$223.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.47 - $252.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $235.95, invalidation $254

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 16.3 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$250.14 / $238.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.11 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.32%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.88 / $236.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.47 / $252.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.640Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.3 / 41.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $235.95, invalidation $254

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 16.3 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$250.14 / $238.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.640Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.3 / 41.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.11 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.32%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.88 / $236.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.47 / $252.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.25Range

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