US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish66%
Daily Downside probability 66%Bearish

ACGL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.34 and stabilize above resistance $107.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $107.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -0.710

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.63 (2.67%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$100.11Bearish
EMA 21$100.34Bearish
EMA 50$98.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -0.710

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.63 · BB 8.27%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.2 · OBV -1.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.59 - $107.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.4% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$109.71
Nearest resistance

+8.74% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.48
Nearest support

-7% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.59
Deeper support zone

-9.67% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$88.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.85 - $101.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $99.14

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 20.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.26 / $97.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (2.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.27%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.77 / $95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.85 / $101.11Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.710Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.9 / 14.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $99.14

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 20.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.26 / $97.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.710Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.9 / 14.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (2.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.27%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.77 / $95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.85 / $101.11Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.59Range

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