US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ACGL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.89 and stabilize above resistance $101.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $101.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -0.098

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.79 (1.84%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$97.14Bearish
EMA 21$97.89Bearish
EMA 50$98.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -0.098

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.79 · BB 6.01%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV -0.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$94.65 - $101.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.57% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$103.34
Nearest resistance

+4.72% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.97
Nearest support

-2.39% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.65
Deeper support zone

-4.24% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$92.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.18 - $98.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.65, invalidation $98.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 14.0 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.65 / $100.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.79 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.01%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.6 / $94.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.18 / $98.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.098Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 38.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.65, invalidation $98.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 14.0 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.65 / $100.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.098Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 38.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.79 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.01%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.6 / $94.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.18 / $98.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.65Range

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