US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBullish88%
Daily Upside probability 88%Bullish

ACGL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $87.05 and reclaim $105.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $87.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 60.2, MACD -0.096

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.27 (2.24%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$100.78Bullish
EMA 21$98.95Bullish
EMA 50$96.71Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.2 · MACD -0.096

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.27 · BB 12.89%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.9 · OBV 2.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$87.05 - $105.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.93% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

$107.36
Nearest resistance

+3.69% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.35
Nearest support

-14.11% · 6.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.05
Deeper support zone

-16.35% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$84.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.08 - $103.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.92, invalidation $103.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.4 / 32.5 / 20.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.17 / $96.07Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.27 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.61 / $94.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.08 / $103.62Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.096Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.7 / 54.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.92, invalidation $103.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.4 / 32.5 / 20.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.17 / $96.07Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.096Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.7 / 54.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.27 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.61 / $94.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.08 / $103.62Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

Related Forecasts