US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBullish67%
Daily Upside probability 67%Bullish

ACGL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $96.95 and reclaim $107.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $96.95 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD 0.042

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.41 (1.43%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$99.61Bearish
EMA 21$99.57Bearish
EMA 50$98.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD 0.042

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.41 · BB 4.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 65.4 · OBV -1.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$96.95 - $107.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.86% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$108.5
Nearest resistance

+8.43% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.76
Nearest support

-1.83% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$96.95
Deeper support zone

-3.26% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$95.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.35 - $100.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.58, invalidation $98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 18.6 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.88 / $99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.17%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.4 / $96.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.35 / $100.17Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$96.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.9 / 68.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.58, invalidation $98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 18.6 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.88 / $99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.9 / 68.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.17%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.4 / $96.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.35 / $100.17Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$96.95Range

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