US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

ACGL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $95.42 and stabilize above resistance $101.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $101.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.9, MACD 0.040

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.75 (1.85%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$94.45Bullish
EMA 21$95.42Bearish
EMA 50$96.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD 0.040

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.75 · BB 5.84%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.7 · OBV -4.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$92.28 - $101.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.88% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$103.24
Nearest resistance

+7.03% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.82
Nearest support

-2.68% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.28
Deeper support zone

-4.53% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$90.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.07 - $96.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.28, invalidation $97.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 12.6 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.24 / $99.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.75 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.84%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.68 / $92.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.07 / $96.57Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.040Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 38.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.28, invalidation $97.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 12.6 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.24 / $99.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.040Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 38.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.75 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.84%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.68 / $92.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.07 / $96.57Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.28Range

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