US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish84%
Weekly Upside probability 84%Bullish

ACGL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $87.05 and reclaim $105.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $87.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.3, MACD 0.799

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.48 (4.42%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$97.79Bullish
EMA 21$95.91Bullish
EMA 50$94.63Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.3 · MACD 0.799

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.48 · BB 14.55%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.9 · OBV 2.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$87.05 - $105.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.11% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$109.57
Nearest resistance

+3.69% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.35
Nearest support

-14.11% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.05
Deeper support zone

-18.53% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$82.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.87 - $105.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.05, invalidation $97.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 26.3 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.07 / $93.77Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.48 (4.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.55%

94%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.33 / $86.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.87 / $105.83Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.799Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.3 / 85.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.7Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

141.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.05, invalidation $97.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 26.3 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.07 / $93.77Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.799Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.3 / 85.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.7Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

141.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.48 (4.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.55%

94%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.33 / $86.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.87 / $105.83Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

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