US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ACGL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $87.05 and reclaim $107.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $87.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.6, MACD 0.157

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.72 (4.78%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$99.05Bearish
EMA 21$97.55Bullish
EMA 50$95.73Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.6 · MACD 0.157

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.72 · BB 16.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 64.0 · OBV 2.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$87.05 - $107.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.21% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$111.81
Nearest resistance

+8.43% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.76
Nearest support

-11.86% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.05
Deeper support zone

-16.64% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$82.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.04 - $103.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $96.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 29.8 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.39 / $94.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.72 (4.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.39%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.36 / $87.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.04 / $103.48Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.157Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.4 / 59.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $96.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 29.8 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.39 / $94.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.157Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.4 / 59.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.72 (4.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.39%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.36 / $87.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.04 / $103.48Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

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