US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ACGL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $87.05 and reclaim $107.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $87.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.8, MACD 0.281

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.72 (3.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$99.17Bullish
EMA 21$97.97Bullish
EMA 50$96.42Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.8 · MACD 0.281

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.72 · BB 12.78%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.8 · OBV 1.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$87.05 - $107.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.43% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$110.81
Nearest resistance

+4.79% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.19
Nearest support

-14.82% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.05
Deeper support zone

-18.46% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$83.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$98.47 - $105.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.28, invalidation $101.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 30.4 / 17.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.56 / $95.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.72 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.78%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.11 / $90.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.47 / $105.91Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.281Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.9 / 63.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.1Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

106.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.28, invalidation $101.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 30.4 / 17.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.56 / $95.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.281Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.9 / 63.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.1Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

106.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.72 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.78%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.11 / $90.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.47 / $105.91Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.05Range

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