US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish61%
Weekly Upside probability 61%Bullish

ACGL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $84.7 and reclaim $103.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $84.7 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.0, MACD -0.224

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.89 (3.99%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.66Bullish
EMA 21$94.06Bullish
EMA 50$93.76Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.0 · MACD -0.224

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.89 · BB 12.07%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.3 · OBV 2.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$84.7 - $103.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.92% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$107.24
Nearest resistance

+5.94% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$103.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.56
Nearest support

-13.18% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.7
Deeper support zone

-17.16% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$80.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.67 - $101.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.25, invalidation $97.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 25.8 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94 / $92.9Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.89 (3.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.07%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.37 / $85.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.67 / $101.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.0 / 50.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.25, invalidation $97.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 25.8 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94 / $92.9Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.0 / 50.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.89 (3.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.07%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.37 / $85.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.67 / $101.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.7Range

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