US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish92%
3M Upside probability 92%Bullish

ACGL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $20.93 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $20.93 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.24 (14.91%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$95.07Bullish
EMA 21$78.58Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $15.24 · BB 92.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.3 · OBV 105.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$20.93 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.89% · 1.9 ATR above latest close

$131.71
Nearest resistance

+13.97% · 0.9 ATR above · 30-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.19
Nearest support

-79.52% · 5.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$20.93
Deeper support zone

-94.43% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$5.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.95 - $117.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.47, invalidation $82.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.9 / 24.7 / 6.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.24 (14.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.91%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.48 / $50.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.95 / $117.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.6 / 61.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

105.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.47, invalidation $82.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.9 / 24.7 / 6.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.6 / 61.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.24 (14.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.91%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.48 / $50.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.95 / $117.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

105.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

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