US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish87%
3M Upside probability 87%Bullish

ACGL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $20.93 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $20.93 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.63 (15.43%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.43Bullish
EMA 21$77.91Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.2 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.63 · BB 91.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.9 · OBV 102.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$20.93 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.26% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$131.1
Nearest resistance

+22.83% · 1.5 ATR above · 30-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.82
Nearest support

-77.93% · 5.0 ATR below · 30-bar low

$20.93
Deeper support zone

-93.36% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$6.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.19 - $109.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.47, invalidation $82.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.9 / 25.7 / 7.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.63 (15.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.85%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.08 / $51.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.19 / $109.45Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.0 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

52.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

102.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.47, invalidation $82.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

78.9 / 25.7 / 7.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.4 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.0 / 55.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

52.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.63 (15.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.85%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.08 / $51.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.19 / $109.45Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

102.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

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