US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish56%
3M Upside probability 56%Bullish

ACGL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $27.44 and reclaim $116.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $27.44 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 72.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.85 (15.22%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.32Bullish
EMA 21$74.09Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 72.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.85 · BB 114.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.2 · OBV 296.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$27.44 - $116.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.39% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$131.11
Nearest resistance

+19.17% · 1.3 ATR above · 24-bar high

$116.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.56
Nearest support

-71.87% · 4.7 ATR below · 24-bar low

$27.44
Deeper support zone

-87.09% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

$12.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$82.71 - $112.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82.45, invalidation $103.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.85 (15.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.65%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.36 / $44.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.71 / $112.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.3 / 70.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

296.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82.45, invalidation $103.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.3 / 70.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

64.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.85 (15.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.65%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.36 / $44.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$82.71 / $112.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

296.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.44Range

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