US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

ACGL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $20.93 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $20.93 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.88 (15.07%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$94.46Bullish
EMA 21$76.8Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.88 · BB 102.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.8 · OBV 165.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$20.93 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$131.35
Nearest resistance

+17.93% · 1.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.76
Nearest support

-78.81% · 5.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$20.93
Deeper support zone

-93.87% · 6.2 ATR below latest close

$6.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.88 - $113.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $87.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

77.7 / 28.2 / 6.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.08 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.88 (15.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.96%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.48 / $49.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.88 / $113.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.1 / 66.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $87.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

77.7 / 28.2 / 6.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.08 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.1 / 66.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.88 (15.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.96%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.48 / $49.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.88 / $113.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.93Range

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