US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish68%
Monthly Upside probability 68%Bullish

ACGL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $72.86 and reclaim $116.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $72.86 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.7, MACD -0.848

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.4 (8.61%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$94.54Bullish
EMA 21$92.84Bullish
EMA 50$79.44Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.7 · MACD -0.848

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.4 · BB 16.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.4 · OBV -8.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.86 - $116.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.78% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$124.66
Nearest resistance

+19.17% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.56
Nearest support

-25.31% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.86
Deeper support zone

-33.92% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$64.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.16 - $105.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.35, invalidation $82.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.0 / 10.9 / 14.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.13 / $78.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.4 (8.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.40%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.75 / $75.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.16 / $105.95Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.3 / 54.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.35, invalidation $82.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.0 / 10.9 / 14.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.13 / $78.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.3 / 54.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.4 (8.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.40%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.75 / $75.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.16 / $105.95Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.86Range

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