US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish56%
Monthly Upside probability 56%Bullish

ACGL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $74.28 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $74.28 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.2, MACD -0.696

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.34 (8.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$95.3Bearish
EMA 21$93.88Bullish
EMA 50$83.63Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.2 · MACD -0.696

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $8.34 · BB 16.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.5 · OBV -13.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$74.28 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.63% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$124.81
Nearest resistance

+22.83% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.82
Nearest support

-21.66% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$74.28
Deeper support zone

-30.46% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$65.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.48 - $103.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 15.1 / 15.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.34 (8.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.74%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.12 / $78.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.48 / $103.16Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$74.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.696Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 51.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 15.1 / 15.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.696Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 51.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.34 (8.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.74%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.12 / $78.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.48 / $103.16Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$74.28Range

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