US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish72%
Monthly Upside probability 72%Bullish

ACGL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $72.85 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $72.85 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.4, MACD -0.386

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.74 (8.62%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$95.95Bullish
EMA 21$93.58Bullish
EMA 50$82.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.4 · MACD -0.386

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.74 · BB 16.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.2 · OBV -1.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.85 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.54% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$125.21
Nearest resistance

+14.92% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.35
Nearest support

-28.12% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.85
Deeper support zone

-36.74% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$64.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.61 - $110.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $82.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 15.7 / 13.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.17 / $78.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.74 (8.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.55%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.25 / $75.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.61 / $110.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.386Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.5 / 62.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

215.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $82.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 15.7 / 13.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.17 / $78.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.386Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.5 / 62.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

215.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.74 (8.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.55%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.25 / $75.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.61 / $110.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

Related Forecasts