US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish68%
Monthly Upside probability 68%Bullish

ACGL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $72.85 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $72.85 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 54.3, MACD -0.362

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.56 (8.83%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$96.46Bullish
EMA 21$94.2Bullish
EMA 50$83.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.3 · MACD -0.362

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $8.56 · BB 16.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -7.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.85 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.94% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$125.03
Nearest resistance

+20.11% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.97
Nearest support

-24.87% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.85
Deeper support zone

-33.7% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$64.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.41 - $105.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.5 / 16.9 / 13.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.56 (8.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.91%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.83 / $78.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.41 / $105.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 65.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.09, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.5 / 16.9 / 13.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 65.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.56 (8.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.91%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.83 / $78.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.41 / $105.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

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