US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish78%
Monthly Upside probability 78%Bullish

ACGL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $72.85 and reclaim $116.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $72.85 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 56.1, MACD -0.299

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.65 (8.76%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$96.44Bullish
EMA 21$93.98Bullish
EMA 50$82.82Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.1 · MACD -0.299

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $8.65 · BB 16.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV -6.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$72.85 - $116.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.69% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$125.12
Nearest resistance

+17.93% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.76
Nearest support

-26.24% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$72.85
Deeper support zone

-35% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$64.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.11 - $107.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 16.7 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.65 (8.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.84%

81%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.49 / $76.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.11 / $107.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.299Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.2 / 69.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

134.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.39, invalidation $87.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 16.7 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.26 / $78.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.299Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.2 / 69.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

134.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.65 (8.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.84%

81%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.49 / $76.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.11 / $107.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$72.85Range

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