US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ACGL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.7 and stabilize above resistance $101.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $101.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -0.022

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.57 (1.62%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$97.08Bearish
EMA 21$97.7Bearish
EMA 50$98.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -0.022

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.57 · BB 5.94%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.3 · OBV 8.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$94.78 - $101.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.28% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$103.06
Nearest resistance

+4.67% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$96.97
Nearest support

-2.26% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.78
Deeper support zone

-3.87% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$93.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.4 - $98.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.78, invalidation $100.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 19.5 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.34 / $100.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.57 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.94%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.62 / $94.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.4 / $98.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.022Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.2 / 42.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.78, invalidation $100.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 19.5 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.34 / $100.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.022Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.2 / 42.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.57 (1.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.94%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.62 / $94.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.4 / $98.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.78Range

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