US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish77%
12h Downside probability 77%Bearish

ACGL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $95.34 and stabilize above resistance $100.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $100.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.5, MACD 0.018

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.62 (1.71%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$94.47Bullish
EMA 21$95.34Bearish
EMA 50$96.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.5 · MACD 0.018

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.62 · BB 5.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -0.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$92.3 - $100.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.71% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$102.13
Nearest resistance

+6% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.82
Nearest support

-2.66% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.3
Deeper support zone

-4.37% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$90.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.2 - $96.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.3, invalidation $96.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.5 / 10.7 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.07 / $96.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.62 (1.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.38%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.69 / $91.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.2 / $96.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.018Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.2 / 36.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.3, invalidation $96.98

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.5 / 10.7 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.07 / $96.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.018Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.2 / 36.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.62 (1.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.38%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.69 / $91.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.2 / $96.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.3Range

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