US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish76%
12h Upside probability 76%Bullish

ACGL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $96.95 and reclaim $107.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $96.95 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.2, MACD 0.165

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.28 (1.29%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$99.63Bearish
EMA 21$99.48Bearish
EMA 50$99.11Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD 0.165

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.28 · BB 3.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 79.9 · OBV 8.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$96.95 - $107

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.64% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$108.28
Nearest resistance

+8.34% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.76
Nearest support

-1.83% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$96.95
Deeper support zone

-3.12% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$95.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.48 - $100.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.5, invalidation $98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 43.3 / 13.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.59 / $101.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.24 / $96.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.48 / $100.04Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$96.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.165Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 60.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.5, invalidation $98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 43.3 / 13.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.59 / $101.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.165Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 60.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.24 / $96.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.48 / $100.04Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$96.95Range

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