US stock / ETF

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish89%
12h Upside probability 89%Bullish

ACGL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $89.51 and reclaim $104.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $89.51 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.9, MACD -0.152

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.2 (2.17%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$100.65Bullish
EMA 21$98.84Bullish
EMA 50$96.4Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.9 · MACD -0.152

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.2 · BB 11.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 75.6 · OBV 40.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$89.51 - $104.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.42% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$106.84
Nearest resistance

+3.25% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.35
Nearest support

-11.68% · 5.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$89.51
Deeper support zone

-13.85% · 6.4 ATR below latest close

$87.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.15 - $103.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.92, invalidation $103.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.7 / 33.5 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.53 / $95.85Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (2.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.69%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.48 / $94.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.15 / $103.55Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.152Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.9 / 47.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

40.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.92, invalidation $103.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.7 / 33.5 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.53 / $95.85Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.152Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.9 / 47.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (2.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.69%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.48 / $94.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.15 / $103.55Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

40.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.51Range

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