US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

PDD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.76 and stabilize above resistance $83.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -0.099

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.17 (1.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$79.13Bearish
EMA 21$79.76Bearish
EMA 50$79.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -0.099

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.17 · BB 6.65%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 59.6 · OBV 6.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.64 - $83.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.49% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$84.96
Nearest resistance

+6.01% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.04
Nearest support

-3.04% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.64
Deeper support zone

-4.52% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$75.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.87 - $80.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.64, invalidation $79.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 26.1 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.08 / $80.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.17 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.65%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.32 / $77.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.87 / $80.21Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.099Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 46.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.64, invalidation $79.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 26.1 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.08 / $80.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.099Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.6 / 46.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.17 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.65%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.32 / $77.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.87 / $80.21Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.64Range

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