US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.98 and stabilize above resistance $90.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $90.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.9, MACD -0.161

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.41 (1.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$77.53Bearish
EMA 21$79.98Bearish
EMA 50$84.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.9 · MACD -0.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.41 · BB 11.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.7 · OBV -13.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$75.47 - $90.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.63% · 11.1 ATR above latest close

$91.47
Nearest resistance

+18.77% · 10.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$90.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$75.83
Nearest support

-0.47% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.47
Deeper support zone

-2.34% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$74.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.42 - $77.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.87, invalidation $84.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 16.5 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.58 / $86.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.43%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.31 / $77.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.42 / $77.24Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$90.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.87, invalidation $84.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 16.5 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.58 / $86.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.43%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.31 / $77.29Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.42 / $77.24Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$90.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.47Range

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