US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.23 and stabilize above resistance $85.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $85.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.5, MACD -0.266

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7626 (0.99%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$77.9Bearish
EMA 21$79.23Bearish
EMA 50$80.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.5 · MACD -0.266

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7626 · BB 7.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.3 · OBV -5.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$76.46 - $85.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.96% · 12.1 ATR above latest close

$86.44
Nearest resistance

+10.97% · 11.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$85.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$77.21
Nearest support

-0.97% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.46
Deeper support zone

-1.96% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$75.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.45 - $77.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.16, invalidation $81.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.1 / 4.3 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.25 / $81.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7626 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.71%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.62 / $77.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.45 / $77.97Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 11.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.16, invalidation $81.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.1 / 4.3 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.25 / $81.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 11.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7626 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.71%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.62 / $77.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.45 / $77.97Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.46Range

Related Forecasts