US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

PDD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.01 and stabilize above resistance $80.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $80.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.2, MACD -0.224

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6587 (0.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$76.07Bearish
EMA 21$77.01Bearish
EMA 50$78.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.2 · MACD -0.224

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6587 · BB 5.80%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.0 · OBV 3.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$75.04 - $80.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.6% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$81.11
Nearest resistance

+6.73% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$80.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$75.38
Nearest support

-0.45% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.04
Deeper support zone

-1.32% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$74.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.72 - $76.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.74, invalidation $75.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 6.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.94 / $78.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6587 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.80%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.43 / $75.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.72 / $76.04Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$80.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 7.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.74, invalidation $75.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 6.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.94 / $78.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 7.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6587 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.80%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.43 / $75.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.72 / $76.04Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$80.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.04Range

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