US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish90%
1h Downside probability 90%Bearish

PDD 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.11 and stabilize above resistance $81.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.7, MACD 0.080

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6032 (0.8%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$76.33Bearish
EMA 21$77.11Bearish
EMA 50$78.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.7 · MACD 0.080

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6032 · BB 5.21%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.7 · OBV -26.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$75.47 - $81.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.35% · 10.5 ATR above latest close

$82.16
Nearest resistance

+7.56% · 9.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$75.83
Nearest support

-0.47% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.47
Deeper support zone

-1.27% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$74.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.23 - $76.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.47, invalidation $76.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 22.3 / 46.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.89 / $79.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6032 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.21%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.11 / $75.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.23 / $76.43Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.080Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.47, invalidation $76.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 22.3 / 46.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$76.89 / $79.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.080Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6032 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.21%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.11 / $75.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.23 / $76.43Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.47Range

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