US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

PDD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $88.12 and stabilize above resistance $108.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.0, MACD 0.437

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.93 (7.62%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$83.82Bearish
EMA 21$88.12Bearish
EMA 50$97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.0 · MACD 0.437

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.93 · BB 29.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.1 · OBV -44.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $108.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.35% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$114.65
Nearest resistance

+39.73% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$77.81
Nearest support

-7.54% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-15.16% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$66.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$71.88 - $83.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.16, invalidation $83.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 17.0 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.39 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.93 (7.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.74%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.82 / $76.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.88 / $83.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.437Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 44.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.16, invalidation $83.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 17.0 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.39 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.437Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 44.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.93 (7.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.74%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.82 / $76.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.88 / $83.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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