US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $92.04 and stabilize above resistance $125.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $125.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD -0.408

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.05 (8.35%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.76Bearish
EMA 21$92.04Bearish
EMA 50$101.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD -0.408

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.05 · BB 38.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.1 · OBV -25.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $125.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.89% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$132.4
Nearest resistance

+48.54% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$125.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.39
Nearest support

-14.75% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-23.1% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$64.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.34 - $91.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.23, invalidation $71.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 13.5 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.75 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.05 (8.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.15%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.83 / $77.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.34 / $91.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.408Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 33.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.23, invalidation $71.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 13.5 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.75 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.408Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 33.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.05 (8.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.15%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.83 / $77.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.34 / $91.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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