US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $85.39 and stabilize above resistance $108.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.5, MACD -0.103

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.21 (6.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$80.2Bearish
EMA 21$85.39Bearish
EMA 50$94.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.5 · MACD -0.103

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.21 · BB 23.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.4 · OBV -36.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$71.94 - $108.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.49% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$113.44
Nearest resistance

+43.58% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$75.38
Nearest support

-4.56% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-11.48% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$66.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.17 - $80.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.25, invalidation $92.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 20.8 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.76 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.21 (6.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.44%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.25 / $74.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.17 / $80.59Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.103Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 22.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $77.25, invalidation $92.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 20.8 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.76 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.103Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 22.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.21 (6.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.44%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.25 / $74.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.17 / $80.59Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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