US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $92.26 and stabilize above resistance $125.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $125.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -0.259

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.16 (8.25%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$85.28Bullish
EMA 21$92.26Bearish
EMA 50$101.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -0.259

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.16 · BB 37.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.8 · OBV -22.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $125.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.79% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$132.51
Nearest resistance

+44.53% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$125.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$86.73
Nearest support

-17.05% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-25.31% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$64.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$79.57 - $93.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.23, invalidation $71.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 13.3 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.75 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.16 (8.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.69%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.36 / $77.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.57 / $93.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.259Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.8 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.23, invalidation $71.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 13.3 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.75 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.259Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.8 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.16 (8.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.69%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.36 / $77.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.57 / $93.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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