US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish69%
Weekly Downside probability 69%Bearish

PDD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.26 and stabilize above resistance $125.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $125.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.8, MACD 1.191

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.81 (7.7%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.72Bullish
EMA 21$90.26Bearish
EMA 50$98.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD 1.191

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.81 · BB 35.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.1 · OBV -31.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $125.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.54% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$132.16
Nearest resistance

+41.84% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$125.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.38
Nearest support

-18.6% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-26.31% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$65.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$81.57 - $95.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.16, invalidation $82.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 14.8 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.07 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.81 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.04%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.88 / $77.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.57 / $95.19Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.191Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 56.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.16, invalidation $82.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 14.8 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.07 / $105.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.191Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 56.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.81 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.04%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.88 / $77.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.57 / $95.19Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Related Forecasts