US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish74%
Daily Downside probability 74%Bearish

MCD 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $271 and stabilize above resistance $281.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $281.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.4, MACD -0.129

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.6 (1.7%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$270.32Bullish
EMA 21$271Bearish
EMA 50$273.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD -0.129

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.6 · BB 4.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.4 · OBV 195.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$260.96 - $281.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.64% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$286.22
Nearest resistance

+3.94% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$281.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$270.95
Nearest support

-3.69% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$260.96
Deeper support zone

-5.39% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$256.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$266.35 - $275.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266.09, invalidation $271.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 14.2 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$255.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.03 / $275.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.6 (1.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.30%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$280.48 / $261.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.35 / $275.55Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$281.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$260.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 40.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

195.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266.09, invalidation $271.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 14.2 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$255.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.03 / $275.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 40.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.6 (1.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.30%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$280.48 / $261.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.35 / $275.55Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

195.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$281.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$260.96Range

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