US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

PDD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.19 and stabilize above resistance $164.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -4.671

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.27 (20.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.9Bearish
EMA 21$103.19Bearish
EMA 50$101.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -4.671

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.27 · BB 54.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.0 · OBV -89.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $164.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+115.62% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$181.96
Nearest resistance

+95.15% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.39
Nearest support

-14.75% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-35.22% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$54.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$67.12 - $101.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 15.4 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$31.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.67 / $97.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.27 (20.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.72%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.53 / $69.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.12 / $101.66Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.671Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-89.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 15.4 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$31.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.67 / $97.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.671Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.27 (20.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.72%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.53 / $69.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.12 / $101.66Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-89.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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