US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

PDD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.19 and stabilize above resistance $164.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -3.919

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.08 (19.32%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.39Bearish
EMA 21$102.19Bearish
EMA 50$101.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -3.919

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.08 · BB 55.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -461.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $164.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+105.67% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$181.77
Nearest resistance

+86.34% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.38
Nearest support

-18.6% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-37.93% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$54.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$71.3 - $105.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 16.6 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$39.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.23 / $97.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.08 (19.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.28%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.34 / $69.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.3 / $105.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.919Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 18.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-461.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 16.6 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$39.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.23 / $97.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.919Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 18.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.08 (19.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.28%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.34 / $69.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.3 / $105.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-461.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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