US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

PDD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.3 and stabilize above resistance $164.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.5, MACD -4.468

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.09 (23.63%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$96.69Bearish
EMA 21$105.3Bearish
EMA 50$103.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD -4.468

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.09 · BB 51.62%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.2 · OBV -3.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$75.72 - $164.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+138.65% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$182.72
Nearest resistance

+115.02% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$76.57
Nearest support

-1.1% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.72
Deeper support zone

-24.74% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$57.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.47 - $94.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $108.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 14.6 / 17.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$32.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$113.85 / $93.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.09 (23.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.62%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.77 / $71.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.47 / $94.66Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.468Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 10.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-202.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $108.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 14.6 / 17.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$32.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$113.85 / $93.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.468Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 10.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-202.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.09 (23.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.62%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.77 / $71.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.47 / $94.66Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.72Range

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