US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

PDD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $99.65 and stabilize above resistance $164.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -4.210

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.21 (20.84%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$89.26Bearish
EMA 21$99.65Bearish
EMA 50$100.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -4.210

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.21 · BB 61.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.4 · OBV -488.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $164.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+132.49% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$180.9
Nearest resistance

+111.66% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$77.81
Nearest support

-7.54% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-28.38% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$55.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61.6 - $94.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 11.8 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.23 / $101.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.21 (20.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.63%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.61 / $70.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.6 / $94.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-488.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $108.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 11.8 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.23 / $101.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.21 (20.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.63%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.61 / $70.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.6 / $94.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-488.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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