US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

PDD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.79 and stabilize above resistance $164.69.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $164.69 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.9, MACD -3.911

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.14 (19.15%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$87.01Bearish
EMA 21$97.79Bearish
EMA 50$99.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.9 · MACD -3.911

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $15.14 · BB 65.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -251.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$71.94 - $164.69

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+127.51% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$179.83
Nearest resistance

+108.36% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$164.69
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.04
Nearest support

-8.98% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$71.94
Deeper support zone

-28.13% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$56.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$63.9 - $94.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $92.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 7.0 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.95 / $101.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.14 (19.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.56%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.5 / $70.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.9 / $94.18Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.911Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 12.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-251.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $92.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 7.0 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.95 / $101.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.911Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 12.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.14 (19.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.56%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.5 / $70.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.9 / $94.18Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-251.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$164.69Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$71.94Range

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