US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish54%
3M Downside probability 54%Bearish

PDD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $93.53 and stabilize above resistance $212.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $212.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.49 (50.94%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.47Bearish
EMA 21$93.53Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $39.49 · BB 117.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.0 · OBV 65.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.11 - $212.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+225.15% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$252.09
Nearest resistance

+174.21% · 3.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$212.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$77.53
Nearest support

-75.36% · 1.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$19.11
Deeper support zone

-126.3% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

-$20.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$38.04 - $117.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $139.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 17.9 / 11.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$29.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.85 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.49 (50.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.33%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.39 / $21.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$38.04 / $117.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

65.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $139.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 17.9 / 11.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$29.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.85 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.49 (50.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.33%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.39 / $21.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$38.04 / $117.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

65.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.11Range

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