US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish61%
3M Downside probability 61%Bearish

PDD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.24 and stabilize above resistance $212.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $212.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.3 (44.74%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$100.73Bearish
EMA 21$96.24Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $40.3 · BB 120.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV 39.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.11 - $212.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+180.75% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$252.9
Nearest resistance

+136% · 3.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$212.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$90.08
Nearest support

-78.79% · 1.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$19.11
Deeper support zone

-123.53% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

-$21.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$49.78 - $130.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $139.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 17.5 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$38.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.85 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.3 (44.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 120.65%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$178.67 / $16.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.78 / $130.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 31.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.94, invalidation $139.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 17.5 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$38.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.85 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 31.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.3 (44.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 120.65%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$178.67 / $16.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.78 / $130.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.11Range

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