US stock / ETF

PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish68%
3M Downside probability 68%Bearish

PDD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.24 and stabilize above resistance $212.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $212.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $41.46 (54.15%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$104.28Bearish
EMA 21$100.24Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $41.46 · BB 120.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.7 · OBV -80.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$23.24 - $212.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+231.21% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$253.59
Nearest resistance

+177.06% · 3.3 ATR above · 24-bar high

$212.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$76.57
Nearest support

-69.65% · 1.3 ATR below · 24-bar low

$23.24
Deeper support zone

-123.8% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

-$18.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$35.1 - $118.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $139.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$37.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$41.46 (54.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 120.54%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.44 / $15.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.1 / $118.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 41.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-80.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.11, invalidation $139.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$37.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 41.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$41.46 (54.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 120.54%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.44 / $15.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.1 / $118.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-80.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$212.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.24Range

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