US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSLA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $404.61 and stabilize above resistance $453.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $453.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -2.925

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $17.89 (4.69%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$397.41Bearish
EMA 21$404.61Bearish
EMA 50$404.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -2.925

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.89 · BB 17.37%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.5 · OBV -0.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$379.09 - $453.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.52% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$471.28
Nearest resistance

+18.83% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$453.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$381.54
Nearest support

-0.64% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$379.09
Deeper support zone

-5.33% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$361.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$363.65 - $399.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.16, invalidation $416

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.0 / 11.3 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$336.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$404.93 / $395.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.89 (4.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.37%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$437.58 / $371.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.65 / $399.42Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$379.09Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.925Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 25.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.16, invalidation $416

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.0 / 11.3 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$336.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$404.93 / $395.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.925Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 25.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.89 (4.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.37%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$437.58 / $371.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.65 / $399.42Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$379.09Range

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