US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish59%
Daily Downside probability 59%Bearish

TSLA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $401.24 and stabilize above resistance $445.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $445.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.3, MACD 0.277

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $17.09 (4.32%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$399.99Bearish
EMA 21$401.24Bearish
EMA 50$402.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.3 · MACD 0.277

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.09 · BB 13.40%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.0 · OBV 1.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$368.6 - $445.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.06% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$462.69
Nearest resistance

+12.74% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$445.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.26
Nearest support

-6.74% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$368.6
Deeper support zone

-11.07% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$351.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$378.17 - $412.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $413.16, invalidation $390.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 36.0 / 24.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$347.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$405.91 / $410.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.09 (4.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$434.45 / $367.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$378.17 / $412.35Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$445.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$368.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.277Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 48.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $413.16, invalidation $390.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 36.0 / 24.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$347.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$405.91 / $410.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.277Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 48.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.09 (4.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$434.45 / $367.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$378.17 / $412.35Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$445.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$368.6Range

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