US stock / ETF

MercadoLibre, Inc.

MELI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

MELI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,639.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,888.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,888.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD 1.236

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $56.26 (3.55%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,621.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,639.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,686.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD 1.236

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $56.26 · BB 9.63%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV -9.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,495.7 - $1,888.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.8% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$1,944.8
Nearest resistance

+19.24% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,888.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,583.7
Nearest support

-5.56% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,495.7
Deeper support zone

-9.11% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$1,439.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,527.5 - $1,640

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,710.2, invalidation $1,546.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 18.1 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,410.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,630.5 / $1,698.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$56.26 (3.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.63%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,755.8 / $1,520Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,527.5 / $1,640Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,888.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,495.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.236Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.6 / 37.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,710.2, invalidation $1,546.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 18.1 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,410.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,630.5 / $1,698.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.236Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.6 / 37.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$56.26 (3.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.63%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,755.8 / $1,520Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,527.5 / $1,640Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,888.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,495.7Range

Related Forecasts