US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish67%
4h Downside probability 67%Bearish

NCLH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.41 and stabilize above resistance $21.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.9, MACD -0.014

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.5743 (2.92%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.23Bullish
EMA 21$19.41Bullish
EMA 50$19.54Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.9 · MACD -0.014

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.5743 · BB 18.87%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.1 · OBV -1.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$18.31 - $21.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.01% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$21.82
Nearest resistance

+8.09% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.66
Nearest support

-6.87% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.31
Deeper support zone

-9.79% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$17.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.09 - $20.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18.31, invalidation $19.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 18.7 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.41 / $19.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5743 (2.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.87%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.29 / $18.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.09 / $20.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18.31, invalidation $19.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 18.7 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.41 / $19.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5743 (2.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.87%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.29 / $18.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.09 / $20.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.31Range

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