US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

NCLH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.6 and stabilize above resistance $19.61.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $19.61 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.1, MACD 0.024

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2878 (1.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.17Bullish
EMA 21$17.6Bearish
EMA 50$18.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD 0.024

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.2878 · BB 13.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -1.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$16.42 - $19.61

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.35% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$19.9
Nearest resistance

+13.68% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$19.61
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.25
Nearest support

-4.81% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.42
Deeper support zone

-6.48% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$16.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.96 - $17.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $17.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.9 / 24.1 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.51 / $18.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2878 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.81%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.17 / $16.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.96 / $17.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.024Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 49.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $17.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.9 / 24.1 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.51 / $18.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.024Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 49.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2878 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.81%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.17 / $16.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.96 / $17.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

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