US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange52%
4h Range probability 96%Range

NCLH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $18.04 - $21.12 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.9, MACD 0.042

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3070 (1.58%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.51Bearish
EMA 21$19.52Bearish
EMA 50$19.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD 0.042

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.3070 · BB 11.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV 3.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$18.04 - $21.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.33% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$21.43
Nearest resistance

+8.75% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-7.11% · 4.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.04
Deeper support zone

-8.69% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

$17.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.11 - $19.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.84, invalidation $19.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 32.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.41 / $20.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3070 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.81%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.17 / $18.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.11 / $19.73Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.4 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.84, invalidation $19.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 32.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.41 / $20.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.4 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3070 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.81%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.17 / $18.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.11 / $19.73Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.04Range

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