US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

NCLH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.35 and stabilize above resistance $19.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $19.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -0.078

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2711 (1.5%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$18.4Bearish
EMA 21$18.35Bearish
EMA 50$17.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -0.078

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2711 · BB 4.65%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.4 · OBV -17.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$17.27 - $19.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.2% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$19.36
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$19.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$18.06
Nearest support

-4.38% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.27
Deeper support zone

-5.88% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.79 - $18.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18.85, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.5 / 25.8 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.42 / $17.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2711 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.65%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.94 / $17.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.79 / $18.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 4.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18.85, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.5 / 25.8 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.42 / $17.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 4.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2711 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.65%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.94 / $17.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.79 / $18.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.27Range

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