US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

NCLH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $15.31 and stabilize above resistance $16.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -0.070

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2799 (1.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$15.21Bearish
EMA 21$15.31Bearish
EMA 50$15.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -0.070

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2799 · BB 7.05%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.7 · OBV -11.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.02 - $16.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.21% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$16.34
Nearest resistance

+6.36% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.1
Nearest support

-7.15% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.02
Deeper support zone

-9.01% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$13.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.82 - $15.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.59, invalidation $15.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 14.0 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.26 / $15.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2799 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.05%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.93 / $14.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.82 / $15.38Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.8 / 30.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.59, invalidation $15.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 14.0 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.26 / $15.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.8 / 30.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2799 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.05%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.93 / $14.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.82 / $15.38Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

Related Forecasts