US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish66%
Daily Downside probability 66%Bearish

NCLH 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.6 and stabilize above resistance $21.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.057

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.9150 (4.68%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.54Bearish
EMA 21$19.6Bearish
EMA 50$19.44Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.057

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9150 · BB 13.25%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV -47.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$18 - $21.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.05% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$22.87
Nearest resistance

+12.36% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.54
Nearest support

-7.86% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18
Deeper support zone

-12.54% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$17.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.62 - $20.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.2 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.88 / $18.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.9150 (4.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.25%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.76 / $17.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.62 / $20.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 31.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.2 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.88 / $18.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 31.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.9150 (4.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.25%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.76 / $17.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.62 / $20.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18Range

Related Forecasts