US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

NCLH 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $16.3 and stabilize above resistance $21.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.8, MACD -0.097

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.5075 (3.42%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.22Bearish
EMA 21$16.3Bearish
EMA 50$17.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.8 · MACD -0.097

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5075 · BB 27.56%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.5 · OBV -308.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.45 - $21.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.91% · 13.7 ATR above latest close

$21.77
Nearest resistance

+43.49% · 12.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.82
Nearest support

-2.5% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.45
Deeper support zone

-5.92% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$13.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.31 - $15.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.45, invalidation $17.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 5.2 / 45.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.16 / $17.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5075 (3.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.56%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.24 / $15.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.31 / $15.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.097Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 8.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-308.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.45, invalidation $17.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 5.2 / 45.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.16 / $17.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.097Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 8.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5075 (3.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.56%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.24 / $15.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.31 / $15.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-308.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

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