US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish69%
Daily Downside probability 69%Bearish

NCLH 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.67 and stabilize above resistance $21.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.9, MACD -0.208

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.8671 (4.47%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.63Bearish
EMA 21$19.67Bearish
EMA 50$19.31Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD -0.208

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8671 · BB 16.19%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.8 · OBV 4.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$16.76 - $21.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.49% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$22.82
Nearest resistance

+13.03% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-13.7% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.76
Deeper support zone

-18.16% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$15.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.55 - $20.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18, invalidation $20.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 27.8 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.76 / $18.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.8671 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.19%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.39 / $17.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.55 / $20.29Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 39.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $18, invalidation $20.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 27.8 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.76 / $18.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.208Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 39.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.8671 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.19%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.39 / $17.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.55 / $20.29Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.76Range

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