US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish90%
Daily Downside probability 90%Bearish

NCLH 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.54 and stabilize above resistance $21.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.3, MACD -0.239

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.6457 (3.75%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.75Bearish
EMA 21$18.54Bearish
EMA 50$18.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.3 · MACD -0.239

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6457 · BB 24.96%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV -122.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$16.42 - $21.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.09% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$21.91
Nearest resistance

+23.35% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.24
Nearest support

-4.76% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.42
Deeper support zone

-8.5% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$15.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.59 - $17.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $19.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 12.3 / 44.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.43 / $19.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.6457 (3.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.96%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.8 / $17.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.59 / $17.89Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.239Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.6 / 15.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $19.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 12.3 / 44.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.43 / $19.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.239Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.6 / 15.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.6457 (3.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.96%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.8 / $17.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.59 / $17.89Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

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