US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish75%
Weekly Downside probability 75%Bearish

NCLH 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.34 and stabilize above resistance $25.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.9, MACD -0.365

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.83 (12.35%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.05Bearish
EMA 21$18.34Bearish
EMA 50$19.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.9 · MACD -0.365

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.83 · BB 37.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.3 · OBV -9.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$14.45 - $25.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+81.71% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$26.93
Nearest resistance

+69.37% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.82
Nearest support

-2.5% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.45
Deeper support zone

-14.84% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$12.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$12.99 - $16.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 15.3 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.1 / $20.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.83 (12.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.76%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.71 / $14.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.99 / $16.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.365Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 15.3 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.1 / $20.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.365Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.83 (12.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.76%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.71 / $14.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.99 / $16.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

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