US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish60%
Weekly Downside probability 60%Bearish

NCLH 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.62 and stabilize above resistance $25.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.5, MACD 0.261

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.05 (10.58%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.49Bearish
EMA 21$19.62Bearish
EMA 50$20.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD 0.261

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.05 · BB 29.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.6 · OBV 18.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$14.53 - $25.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.96% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$27.18
Nearest resistance

+29.38% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-25.18% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.53
Deeper support zone

-35.76% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$12.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.37 - $21.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $21.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 21.3 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.03 / $20.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.05 (10.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.27%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.42 / $15.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.37 / $21.47Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.261Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.6 / 66.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $21.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 21.3 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.03 / $20.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.261Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.6 / 66.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.05 (10.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.27%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.42 / $15.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.37 / $21.47Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.53Range

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