US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish60%
Weekly Downside probability 60%Bearish

NCLH 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.42 and stabilize above resistance $25.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.7, MACD -0.377

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.63 (10.74%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.81Bearish
EMA 21$17.42Bearish
EMA 50$19.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.7 · MACD -0.377

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.63 · BB 46.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.9 · OBV 4.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.63 - $25.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+76.52% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$26.73
Nearest resistance

+65.79% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.14
Nearest support

-9.97% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.63
Deeper support zone

-20.7% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$12.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.51 - $16.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 8.7 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.52 / $19.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.63 (10.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.80%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.46 / $14.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.51 / $16.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 8.7 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.52 / $19.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.63 (10.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.80%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.46 / $14.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.51 / $16.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

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