US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NCLH 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $16.88 and stabilize above resistance $22.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $22.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD -0.165

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.48 (9.81%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.49Bearish
EMA 21$16.88Bearish
EMA 50$18.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD -0.165

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.48 · BB 51.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.2 · OBV -5.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.63 - $22.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+61.33% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$24.36
Nearest resistance

+51.52% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$22.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.1
Nearest support

-9.73% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.63
Deeper support zone

-19.53% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$12.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.62 - $16.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.63, invalidation $21.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 12.0 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.73 / $19.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.48 (9.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.69%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.42 / $14.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.62 / $16.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.165Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 21.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.63, invalidation $21.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 12.0 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.73 / $19.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.165Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 21.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.48 (9.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.69%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.42 / $14.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.62 / $16.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

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