US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

NCLH 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.24 and stabilize above resistance $25.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -0.013

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.02 (11.74%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$18.77Bearish
EMA 21$19.24Bearish
EMA 50$20.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -0.013

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.02 · BB 30.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 63.5 · OBV 2.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$14.53 - $25.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.47% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$27.15
Nearest resistance

+45.74% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.24
Nearest support

-15.72% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.53
Deeper support zone

-27.45% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$12.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$15.22 - $19.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 23.5 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.5 / $20.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.02 (11.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.13%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.19 / $15.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.22 / $19.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.013Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 53.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.27, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 23.5 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.5 / $20.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.013Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 53.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.02 (11.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.13%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.19 / $15.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.22 / $19.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.53Range

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