US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish86%
12h Downside probability 86%Bearish

NCLH 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $15.62 and stabilize above resistance $17.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $17.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.4, MACD -0.001

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3081 (2.08%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.99Bearish
EMA 21$15.62Bearish
EMA 50$16.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.4 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3081 · BB 15.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.1 · OBV -12.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.45 - $17.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.13% · 11.1 ATR above latest close

$18.25
Nearest resistance

+21.05% · 10.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$17.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.82
Nearest support

-2.5% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.45
Deeper support zone

-4.58% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$14.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.51 - $15.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.45, invalidation $15.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 15.8 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.58 / $17.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3081 (2.08%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.76%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$16.17 / $14.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.51 / $15.13Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$17.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.08xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.45, invalidation $15.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 15.8 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.58 / $17.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3081 (2.08%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.76%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$16.17 / $14.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.51 / $15.13Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.08xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$17.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.45Range

Related Forecasts