US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

12 hoursRange50%
12h Range probability 100%Range

NCLH 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $18.31 - $21.25 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.3, MACD -0.075

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.7981 (4.06%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.35Bullish
EMA 21$19.5Bullish
EMA 50$19.54Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.3 · MACD -0.075

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.7981 · BB 14.78%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV -12.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$18.31 - $21.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.15% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$22.05
Nearest resistance

+8.09% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.66
Nearest support

-6.87% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.31
Deeper support zone

-10.93% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$17.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.86 - $20.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.25, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 28.6 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.78 / $20.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7981 (4.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.78%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.2 / $17.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.86 / $20.46Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.25, invalidation $18.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 28.6 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.78 / $20.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.9 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7981 (4.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.78%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.2 / $17.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.86 / $20.46Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.31Range

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