US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish91%
12h Downside probability 91%Bearish

NCLH 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.19 and stabilize above resistance $20.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.3, MACD -0.150

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.4639 (2.69%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.47Bearish
EMA 21$18.19Bearish
EMA 50$18.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.3 · MACD -0.150

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4639 · BB 18.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.6 · OBV -13.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$16.42 - $20.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.5% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$21.3
Nearest resistance

+20.81% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.25
Nearest support

-4.81% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.42
Deeper support zone

-7.5% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$15.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.79 - $17.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $19.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 14.8 / 48.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.13 / $18.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4639 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.45%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.15 / $17.14Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.79 / $17.71Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.150Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.0 / 19.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.42, invalidation $19.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 14.8 / 48.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.13 / $18.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.150Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.0 / 19.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4639 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.45%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.15 / $17.14Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.79 / $17.71Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.42Range

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