US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish70%
12h Downside probability 70%Bearish

NCLH 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.67 and stabilize above resistance $21.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -0.008

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.5083 (2.62%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.46Bearish
EMA 21$19.67Bearish
EMA 50$19.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -0.008

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5083 · BB 18.89%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.9 · OBV -20.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$18.04 - $21.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.75% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$22.48
Nearest resistance

+13.13% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-7.11% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.04
Deeper support zone

-9.72% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$17.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.91 - $19.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.17, invalidation $19.24

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.2 / 33.7 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.56 / $19.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5083 (2.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.89%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.72 / $18.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.91 / $19.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.8 / 55.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.17, invalidation $19.24

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.2 / 33.7 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.56 / $19.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.8 / 55.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5083 (2.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.89%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.72 / $18.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.91 / $19.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.04Range

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