US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish64%
12h Downside probability 64%Bearish

NCLH 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $15.26 and stabilize above resistance $16.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.032

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.5040 (3.34%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$15.29Bearish
EMA 21$15.26Bearish
EMA 50$15.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.032

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5040 · BB 6.22%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.0 · OBV 2.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$14.02 - $16.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.7% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$16.56
Nearest resistance

+6.36% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.1
Nearest support

-7.15% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.02
Deeper support zone

-10.49% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$13.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.6 - $15.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.06, invalidation $14.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 16.1 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.18 / $14.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5040 (3.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.22%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$16.15 / $14.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.6 / $15.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.032Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.9 / 59.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.65xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.06, invalidation $14.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 16.1 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.18 / $14.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.032Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.9 / 59.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5040 (3.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.22%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$16.15 / $14.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.6 / $15.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.65xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

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