US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

NCLH 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.53 and stabilize above resistance $20.17.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.17 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -0.019

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1620 (0.83%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.47Bearish
EMA 21$19.53Bearish
EMA 50$19.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -0.019

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1620 · BB 2.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 53.4 · OBV 5.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.24 - $20.17

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.7% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$20.33
Nearest resistance

+3.86% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.17
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-0.93% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.24
Deeper support zone

-1.76% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$19.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.26 - $19.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.34, invalidation $19.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 21.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.65 / $19.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1620 (0.83%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.89 / $19.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.26 / $19.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.019Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 31.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.71xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.34, invalidation $19.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 21.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.65 / $19.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.019Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.8 / 31.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1620 (0.83%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.89 / $19.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.26 / $19.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.71xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.24Range

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