US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish67%
3M Downside probability 67%Bearish

NCLH 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.8 and stabilize above resistance $59.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.48 (38.51%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.59Bearish
EMA 21$21.8Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $7.48 · BB 84.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.8 · OBV 79.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.03 - $59.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+246.34% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$67.26
Nearest resistance

+207.83% · 5.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$59.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-63.8% · 1.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$7.03
Deeper support zone

-102.31% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

-$0.4491
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.94 - $26.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 17.8 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.48 (38.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.61%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.34 / $7.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.94 / $26.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

79.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 17.8 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.5 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.48 (38.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.61%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.34 / $7.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.94 / $26.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

79.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Related Forecasts