US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish59%
3M Downside probability 59%Bearish

NCLH 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.8 and stabilize above resistance $59.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.17 (47.38%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$18.56Bearish
EMA 21$20.8Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.17 · BB 90.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.7 · OBV 43.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.03 - $59.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+342.22% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$66.95
Nearest resistance

+294.85% · 6.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$59.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.14
Nearest support

-53.57% · 1.1 ATR below · 30-bar low

$7.03
Deeper support zone

-100.94% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

-$0.1426
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$7.97 - $22.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.29, invalidation $14.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 15.2 / 15.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.93 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.17 (47.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.35%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.21 / $6.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.97 / $22.31Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

43.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.29, invalidation $14.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 15.2 / 15.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.93 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.17 (47.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.35%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.21 / $6.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.97 / $22.31Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

43.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

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