US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

NCLH 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.06 and stabilize above resistance $59.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.45 (41.27%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.21Bearish
EMA 21$21.06Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.45 · BB 88.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.6 · OBV 49.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.03 - $59.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+272.27% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$67.23
Nearest resistance

+231.01% · 5.6 ATR above · 30-bar high

$59.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$18.06
Nearest support

-61.07% · 1.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$7.03
Deeper support zone

-102.34% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

-$0.4226
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.61 - $25.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.29, invalidation $14.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 14.7 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$6.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.93 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.45 (41.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 88.15%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.27 / $5.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.61 / $25.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 33.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

49.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.29, invalidation $14.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 14.7 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$6.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.93 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 33.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.45 (41.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 88.15%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.27 / $5.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.61 / $25.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

49.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

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