US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish73%
3M Downside probability 73%Bearish

NCLH 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.6 and stabilize above resistance $59.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.59 (44.04%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.11Bearish
EMA 21$21.6Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.59 · BB 85.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.2 · OBV 74.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.03 - $59.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+290.79% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$67.37
Nearest resistance

+246.75% · 5.6 ATR above · 29-bar high

$59.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.24
Nearest support

-59.22% · 1.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$7.03
Deeper support zone

-103.26% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

-$0.5619
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$9.65 - $24.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 17.6 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.59 (44.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 85.46%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.45 / $6.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.65 / $24.83Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.6 / 41.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

74.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 17.6 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.6 / 41.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.59 (44.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 85.46%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.45 / $6.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.65 / $24.83Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

74.66%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

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