US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish59%
3M Downside probability 59%Bearish

NCLH 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.38 and stabilize above resistance $59.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.73 (52.18%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$19.57Bearish
EMA 21$21.38Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.7 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.73 · BB 87.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.9 · OBV 72.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.03 - $59.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+355.55% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$67.51
Nearest resistance

+303.37% · 5.8 ATR above · 29-bar high

$59.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.82
Nearest support

-52.56% · 1.0 ATR below · 29-bar low

$7.03
Deeper support zone

-104.74% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

-$0.7027
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$7.09 - $22.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.13, invalidation $17.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 17.2 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$5.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.73 (52.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.79%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.61 / $5.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.09 / $22.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.3 / 36.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

72.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.13, invalidation $17.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 17.2 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$5.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.52 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.3 / 36.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.73 (52.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.79%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.61 / $5.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.09 / $22.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

72.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.03Range

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