US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.35 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -0.828

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.19 (27.71%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.53Bearish
EMA 21$19.35Bearish
EMA 50$20.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -0.828

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.19 · BB 65.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.6 · OBV -2087.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$13.63 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+121.17% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$33.48
Nearest resistance

+93.46% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.14
Nearest support

-9.97% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.63
Deeper support zone

-37.67% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$9.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.95 - $19.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 12.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $19.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.19 (27.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.84%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.5 / $11.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.95 / $19.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.828Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 10.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2087.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 12.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $19.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.828Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 10.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.19 (27.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.84%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.5 / $11.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.95 / $19.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2087.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

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