US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.43 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD -0.528

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.33 (23.98%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$18.07Bearish
EMA 21$19.43Bearish
EMA 50$20.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD -0.528

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.33 · BB 63.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.6 · OBV -44.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$13.63 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+86.16% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$33.62
Nearest resistance

+62.18% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$18.06
Nearest support

-24.52% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.63
Deeper support zone

-48.5% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$9.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.73 - $22.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.63, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 14.0 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.86 / $20.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.33 (23.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.27%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.66 / $11.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.73 / $22.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.528Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.5 / 25.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.63, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 14.0 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.86 / $20.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.528Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.5 / 25.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.33 (23.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.27%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.66 / $11.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.73 / $22.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

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