US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthRange47%
Monthly Range probability 94%Range

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $12.71 - $29.27 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.465

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.47 (21.9%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.36Bullish
EMA 21$20.81Bearish
EMA 50$20.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.465

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.47 · BB 62.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.5 · OBV -493.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.71 - $29.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.31% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$33.74
Nearest resistance

+43.41% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.41
Nearest support

-37.73% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.71
Deeper support zone

-59.62% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$8.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$15.94 - $24.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.13, invalidation $17.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 21.5 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.47 (21.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.72%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.07 / $11.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.94 / $24.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.4 / 36.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-493.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.13, invalidation $17.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 21.5 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.4 / 36.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.47 (21.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.72%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.07 / $11.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.94 / $24.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-493.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

Related Forecasts