US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.76 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.406

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.54 (23.39%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.27Bearish
EMA 21$20.76Bearish
EMA 50$21.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.406

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.54 · BB 60.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.8 · OBV -172.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.71 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+74.22% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$33.83
Nearest resistance

+50.82% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.42
Nearest support

-34.58% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.71
Deeper support zone

-57.97% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$8.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.88 - $23.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 22.8 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.54 (23.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.44%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.29 / $11.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.88 / $23.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.406Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.7 / 40.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-172.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 22.8 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.406Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.7 / 40.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.54 (23.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.44%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.29 / $11.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.88 / $23.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-172.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

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