US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.57 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.2, MACD -0.415

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.4 (22.53%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.95Bearish
EMA 21$20.57Bearish
EMA 50$21.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD -0.415

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.4 · BB 59.73%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV -179.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.71 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.46% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$33.69
Nearest resistance

+49.94% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.54
Nearest support

-34.96% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.71
Deeper support zone

-57.49% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$8.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$15.13 - $23.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 22.3 / 21.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.4 (22.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.73%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.72 / $11.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.13 / $23.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.415Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 41.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-179.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 22.3 / 21.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.415Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 41.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.4 (22.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.73%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.72 / $11.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.13 / $23.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-179.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

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