US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.78 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.783

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.25 (28.7%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$18.25Bearish
EMA 21$19.78Bearish
EMA 50$21.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.783

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.25 · BB 61.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV -315.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$14.21 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+126.34% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$33.54
Nearest resistance

+97.64% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.82
Nearest support

-4.12% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.21
Deeper support zone

-32.82% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$9.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.57 - $19.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 11.9 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.77 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.25 (28.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.52%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.86 / $10.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.57 / $19.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.783Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 11.9 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.77 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.783Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.25 (28.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.52%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.86 / $10.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.57 / $19.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.21Range

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