US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish86%
Monthly Downside probability 86%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.34 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -0.830

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.26 (28.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$17.52Bearish
EMA 21$19.34Bearish
EMA 50$20.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -0.830

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.26 · BB 65.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.3 · OBV -1675.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$13.63 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+122.21% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$33.55
Nearest resistance

+93.97% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$15.1
Nearest support

-9.73% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.63
Deeper support zone

-37.97% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$9.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.84 - $19.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 11.9 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $19.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.26 (28.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.91%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.69 / $10.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.84 / $19.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.830Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 10.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1675.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 11.9 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $19.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.830Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 10.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.26 (28.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.91%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.69 / $10.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.84 / $19.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1675.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.63Range

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