US stock / ETF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

NCLH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.36 and stabilize above resistance $29.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -0.561

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.61 (26.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.44Bearish
EMA 21$20.36Bearish
EMA 50$21.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -0.561

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.61 · BB 61.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.0 · OBV -209.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.71 - $29.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+96.64% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$33.9
Nearest resistance

+69.9% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$17.24
Nearest support

-26.31% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.71
Deeper support zone

-53.05% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$8.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$12.63 - $21.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 21.3 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.61 (26.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.90%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.09 / $10.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.63 / $21.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.561Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.4 / 35.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-209.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.53, invalidation $25.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 21.3 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.79 / $19.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.561Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.4 / 35.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.61 (26.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.90%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.09 / $10.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.63 / $21.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-209.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.71Range

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