US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursRange49%
4h Range probability 98%Range

MSFT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $518.79 - $551.15 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 54.3, MACD -1.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.46 (1.01%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$537.73Bullish
EMA 21$536.23Bullish
EMA 50$528.79Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.3 · MACD -1.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.46 · BB 3.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.4 · OBV -3.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$518.79 - $551.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.37% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$556.61
Nearest resistance

+2.36% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$551.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$538.46
Nearest support

-3.65% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$518.79
Deeper support zone

-4.67% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$513.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$533 - $543.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547.44, invalidation $527.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 25.7 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$522.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$536.1 / $527.47Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.46 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.75%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$547.7 / $525.18Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$533 / $543.92Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$518.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.4 / 51.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $547.44, invalidation $527.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 25.7 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$522.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$536.1 / $527.47Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.4 / 51.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.46 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.75%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$547.7 / $525.18Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$533 / $543.92Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$518.79Range

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