US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish71%
4h Upside probability 71%Bullish

MSFT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $373.35 and reclaim $395.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $373.35 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.7, MACD -0.283

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.99 (1.29%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$385.6Bearish
EMA 21$385.13Bullish
EMA 50$384.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD -0.283

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.99 · BB 3.56%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.2 · OBV 16.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$373.35 - $395.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.99% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$400.56
Nearest resistance

+2.69% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$395.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$385.2
Nearest support

-3.08% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$373.35
Deeper support zone

-4.37% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$368.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$380.21 - $390.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $393.57, invalidation $377.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 24.8 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$370.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.96 / $372.39Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.99 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.56%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$395.03 / $375.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$380.21 / $390.19Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$395.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.283Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.4 / 57.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.34xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $393.57, invalidation $377.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 24.8 / 21.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$370.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.96 / $372.39Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.283Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.4 / 57.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.99 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.56%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$395.03 / $375.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$380.21 / $390.19Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.34xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$395.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.35Range

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