US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish89%
4h Upside probability 89%Bullish

MSFT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $491.7 and reclaim $522.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $491.7 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.8, MACD -0.258

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.38 (1.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$515.58Bullish
EMA 21$512.77Bullish
EMA 50$507.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.8 · MACD -0.258

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.38 · BB 2.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.5 · OBV -13.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$491.7 - $522.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.09% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$528.23
Nearest resistance

+1.05% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$522.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$517.42
Nearest support

-4.97% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$491.7
Deeper support zone

-6.01% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$486.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$512.04 - $522.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $521.3, invalidation $512.55

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 33.6 / 8.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$502.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$512.5 / $505.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.38 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$522.97 / $503.05Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$512.04 / $522.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$522.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$491.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.6 / 62.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

88.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $521.3, invalidation $512.55

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 33.6 / 8.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$502.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$512.5 / $505.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.6 / 62.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

88.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.38 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$522.97 / $503.05Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$512.04 / $522.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$522.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$491.7Range

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