US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish80%
4h Upside probability 80%Bullish

MSFT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $377.39 and reclaim $491.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $377.39 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 81.6, MACD 5.191

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $13.56 (2.79%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$471.44Bullish
EMA 21$444.38Bullish
EMA 50$419.62Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 81.6 · MACD 5.191

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.56 · BB 31.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 85.1 · OBV 64.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$377.39 - $491.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.85% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$504.93
Nearest resistance

+1.06% · 0.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$491.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$486.21
Nearest support

-22.38% · 8.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$377.39
Deeper support zone

-25.17% · 9.0 ATR below latest close

$363.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$472.65 - $499.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $491.37, invalidation $445

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

82.9 / 54.4 / 2.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$456.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$452.12 / $434.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.56 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.45%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$466.43 / $425.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$472.65 / $499.77Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$491.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$377.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.191Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.9 / 95.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

109.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

85.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

64.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $491.37, invalidation $445

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

82.9 / 54.4 / 2.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$456.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$452.12 / $434.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.191Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.9 / 95.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

109.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.56 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.45%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$466.43 / $425.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$472.65 / $499.77Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

85.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

64.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$491.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$377.39Range

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