US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish71%
Monthly Upside probability 71%Bullish

MSFT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $344.79 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $344.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.5, MACD 3.174

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $54.24 (10.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$474.88Bullish
EMA 21$452.16Bullish
EMA 50$400.87Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.5 · MACD 3.174

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $54.24 · BB 48.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV 1.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$344.79 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.81% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$609.69
Nearest resistance

+7.33% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$517.53
Nearest support

-33.38% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$344.79
Deeper support zone

-43.86% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$290.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$463.29 - $571.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 16.9 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$336.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$443.07 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$54.24 (10.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.00%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$574.1 / $333.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$463.29 / $571.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.174Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.3 / 80.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

82.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 16.9 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$336.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$443.07 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.174Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.3 / 80.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

82.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$54.24 (10.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.00%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$574.1 / $333.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$463.29 / $571.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

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