US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish84%
Monthly Upside probability 84%Bullish

MSFT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $344.79 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $344.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.5, MACD 4.572

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.26 (10.43%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$479.75Bullish
EMA 21$454.15Bullish
EMA 50$401.73Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.5 · MACD 4.572

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $56.26 · BB 49.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.3 · OBV 3.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$344.79 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.4% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$611.71
Nearest resistance

+2.97% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$539.44
Nearest support

-36.08% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$344.79
Deeper support zone

-46.51% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$288.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$483.18 - $595.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.1 / 19.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$342.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$450.15 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.26 (10.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.03%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$581.85 / $329.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$483.18 / $595.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.572Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.0 / 83.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

102.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.68%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.1 / 19.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$342.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$450.15 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.572Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.0 / 83.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

102.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.26 (10.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.03%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$581.85 / $329.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$483.18 / $595.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.68%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

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