US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish62%
Monthly Upside probability 62%Bullish

MSFT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $339.65 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $339.65 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.5, MACD -5.286

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.78 (11.72%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$442.78Bullish
EMA 21$436.61Bullish
EMA 50$390.36Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.5 · MACD -5.286

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $56.78 · BB 47.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV -21.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$339.65 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.39% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$612.23
Nearest resistance

+14.67% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$484.41
Nearest support

-29.88% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$339.65
Deeper support zone

-41.6% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$282.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$427.63 - $541.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 19.1 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$435.73 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.78 (11.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.36%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$560.42 / $314.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$427.63 / $541.19Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$339.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.6 / 44.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 19.1 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$435.73 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.6 / 44.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.78 (11.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.36%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$560.42 / $314.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$427.63 / $541.19Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$339.65Range

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