US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish83%
Monthly Upside probability 83%Bullish

MSFT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $344.79 and reclaim $559.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $344.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.1, MACD 5.044

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $58 (11.09%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$486.33Bullish
EMA 21$458.96Bullish
EMA 50$405.82Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.1 · MACD 5.044

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $58 · BB 45.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.3 · OBV 1.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$344.79 - $559.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$617.15
Nearest resistance

+6.91% · 0.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$559.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523
Nearest support

-34.07% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$344.79
Deeper support zone

-45.16% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$286.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$465 - $581

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 20.3 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$349.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$453.07 / $386.29Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$58 (11.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.66%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$583.27 / $338.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$465 / $581Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.8 / 82.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

89.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 20.3 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$349.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$453.07 / $386.29Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.8 / 82.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

89.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$58 (11.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.66%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$583.27 / $338.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$465 / $581Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

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