US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish62%
Monthly Upside probability 62%Bullish

MSFT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $344.79 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $344.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.0, MACD -0.637

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.01 (11.3%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$458.86Bullish
EMA 21$444.05Bullish
EMA 50$395.43Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.0 · MACD -0.637

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $56.01 · BB 48.05%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.2 · OBV -13.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$344.79 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.37% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$611.46
Nearest resistance

+12.07% · 1.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$495.63
Nearest support

-30.43% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$344.79
Deeper support zone

-41.74% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$288.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$439.62 - $551.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 15.7 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$317.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$441.81 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.01 (11.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.05%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$567.29 / $323.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$439.62 / $551.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.637Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.6 / 68.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

66.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $349.2, invalidation $553.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 15.7 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$317.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$441.81 / $384.44Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.637Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.6 / 68.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

66.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.01 (11.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.05%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$567.29 / $323.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$439.62 / $551.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.79Range

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