US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

MSFT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $349.2 and reclaim $551.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $349.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.8, MACD 6.960

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.84 (5.31%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$512.95Bullish
EMA 21$479.86Bullish
EMA 50$458.53Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.8 · MACD 6.960

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $27.84 · BB 51.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.2 · OBV -8.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$349.2 - $551.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.54% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$578.99
Nearest resistance

+5.22% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$551.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523.79
Nearest support

-33.33% · 6.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$349.2
Deeper support zone

-38.65% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$321.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$495.95 - $551.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $517.78, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.5 / 47.4 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$457.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$483.37 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.84 (5.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.40%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$526.15 / $437.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$495.95 / $551.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.960Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.3 / 90.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $517.78, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.5 / 47.4 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$457.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$483.37 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.960Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.3 / 90.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.84 (5.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.40%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$526.15 / $437.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$495.95 / $551.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Related Forecasts