US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish65%
Weekly Upside probability 65%Bullish

MSFT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $349.2 and reclaim $508.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $349.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.2, MACD 13.575

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.07 (7.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$452.01Bullish
EMA 21$430.38Bullish
EMA 50$434.12Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.2 · MACD 13.575

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $34.07 · BB 37.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.6 · OBV -3.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$349.2 - $508.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.36% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$542.95
Nearest resistance

+5.31% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$508.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$483.24
Nearest support

-27.74% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$349.2
Deeper support zone

-34.79% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$315.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$449.17 - $517.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.32, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 35.6 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$386.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$429.04 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.07 (7.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.20%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$496.37 / $365.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$449.17 / $517.31Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$508.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.575Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.9 / 90.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

154.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.32, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 35.6 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$386.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$429.04 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.575Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.9 / 90.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

154.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.07 (7.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.20%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$496.37 / $365.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$449.17 / $517.31Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$508.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

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