US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish77%
Weekly Upside probability 77%Bullish

MSFT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $349.2 and reclaim $491.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $349.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.4, MACD 9.763

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.12 (7.04%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$424.67Bullish
EMA 21$416.65Bullish
EMA 50$428.92Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.4 · MACD 9.763

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $34.12 · BB 31.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.1 · OBV 0.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$349.2 - $491.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.48% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$525.49
Nearest resistance

+1.44% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$491.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$484.41
Nearest support

-27.91% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$349.2
Deeper support zone

-34.96% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$315.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$450.29 - $518.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.32, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 31.9 / 14.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$369.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$420.28 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.12 (7.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.91%

110%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$489.45 / $343.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$450.29 / $518.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$491.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.763Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.1 / 73.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

208.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.69%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $466.32, invalidation $349.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 31.9 / 14.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$369.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$420.28 / $451.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.763Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.1 / 73.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

208.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.12 (7.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.91%

110%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$489.45 / $343.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$450.29 / $518.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.69%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$491.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

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