US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish63%
1h Upside probability 63%Bullish

MSFT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $478.53 and reclaim $492.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $478.53 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.6, MACD 0.101

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.1 (0.43%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$482.69Bearish
EMA 21$482.47Bullish
EMA 50$483.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD 0.101

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.1 · BB 0.82%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -9.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$478.53 - $492

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.38% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$494.1
Nearest resistance

+1.95% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$492
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$482.61
Nearest support

-0.85% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$478.53
Deeper support zone

-1.28% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$476.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$480.51 - $484.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $486.36, invalidation $480.71

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 21.4 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$475.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$483.86 / $484.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.1 (0.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.82%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$487.44 / $477.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$480.51 / $484.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$492Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$478.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.101Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.1 / 46.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.46xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $486.36, invalidation $480.71

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 21.4 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$475.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$483.86 / $484.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.101Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.1 / 46.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.1 (0.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.82%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$487.44 / $477.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$480.51 / $484.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.46xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$492Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$478.53Range

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