US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange52%
1h Range probability 96%Range

MSFT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $515 - $533.75 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.3, MACD 0.895

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.86 (0.55%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$522.99Bullish
EMA 21$523.1Bullish
EMA 50$525.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD 0.895

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.86 · BB 2.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -4.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$515 - $533.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.45% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$536.61
Nearest resistance

+1.9% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$533.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523.79
Nearest support

-1.68% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$515
Deeper support zone

-2.22% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$512.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$520.93 - $526.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $525.77, invalidation $516

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 20.1 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$515.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$522.63 / $524.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.18%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$528.42 / $517.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$520.93 / $526.65Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$533.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$515Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.895Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.6 / 86.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $525.77, invalidation $516

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 20.1 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$515.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$522.63 / $524.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.895Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.6 / 86.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.18%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$528.42 / $517.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$520.93 / $526.65Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$533.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$515Range

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