US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish65%
12h Downside probability 65%Bearish

MSFT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $530.93 and stabilize above resistance $568.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $568.03 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -1.854

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $13.15 (2.52%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$528.66Bearish
EMA 21$530.93Bearish
EMA 50$528.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -1.854

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.15 · BB 9.94%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV 4.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$503 - $568.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.26% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$581.18
Nearest resistance

+8.74% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$568.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$522.35
Nearest support

-3.7% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$503
Deeper support zone

-6.22% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$489.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$509.2 - $535.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $548.28, invalidation $520.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 26.0 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$494.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$534.11 / $535.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.15 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$549.91 / $511.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$509.2 / $535.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$503Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.854Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.2 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $548.28, invalidation $520.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 26.0 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$494.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$534.11 / $535.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.854Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.2 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.15 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$549.91 / $511.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$509.2 / $535.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$503Range

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