US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish89%
12h Downside probability 89%Bearish

MSFT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $495.88 and stabilize above resistance $517.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $517.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.6, MACD -1.612

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $6.24 (1.26%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$494.83Bullish
EMA 21$495.88Bearish
EMA 50$485.93Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -1.612

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.24 · BB 5.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.9 · OBV -17.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$476.98 - $517.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.77% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$523.97
Nearest resistance

+4.51% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$517.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$495.4
Nearest support

-3.72% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$476.98
Deeper support zone

-4.98% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$470.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$489.16 - $501.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $486, invalidation $515.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.6 / 21.7 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$479.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$499.63 / $497.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.24 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.30%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$506.62 / $485.31Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$489.16 / $501.64Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$517.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$476.98Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.612Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $486, invalidation $515.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.6 / 21.7 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$479.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$499.63 / $497.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.612Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.24 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.30%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$506.62 / $485.31Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$489.16 / $501.64Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$517.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$476.98Range

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