US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MSFT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $396.76 and stabilize above resistance $468.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $468.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.4, MACD -4.631

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11 (2.97%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$381.35Bearish
EMA 21$396.76Bearish
EMA 50$405.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.4 · MACD -4.631

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11 · BB 25.04%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 18.4 · OBV -57.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$367.07 - $468.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.35% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$479.4
Nearest resistance

+26.38% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$468.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$370.63
Nearest support

-0.96% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$367.07
Deeper support zone

-3.93% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$356.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$359.63 - $381.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $367.07, invalidation $401.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 5.6 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$341.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.07 / $417.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11 (2.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.04%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.29 / $374.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$359.63 / $381.63Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$468.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$367.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.631Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-57.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $367.07, invalidation $401.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 5.6 / 45.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$341.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.07 / $417.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.631Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11 (2.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.04%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.29 / $374.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$359.63 / $381.63Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-57.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$468.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$367.07Range

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