US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish77%
12h Downside probability 77%Bearish

MSFT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $528.38 and stabilize above resistance $551.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $551.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.6, MACD -2.356

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $8.54 (1.63%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$526.18Bearish
EMA 21$528.38Bearish
EMA 50$521.55Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD -2.356

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.54 · BB 5.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.6 · OBV -23.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$510.54 - $551.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.85% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$559.69
Nearest resistance

+5.22% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$551.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523.79
Nearest support

-2.53% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$510.54
Deeper support zone

-4.16% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$502
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$515.25 - $532.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $524.43, invalidation $533.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 17.0 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$529.52 / $521.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.54 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.38%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$543.67 / $513.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$515.25 / $532.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$510.54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.356Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 16.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $524.43, invalidation $533.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 17.0 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$529.52 / $521.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.356Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 16.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.54 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.38%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$543.67 / $513.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$515.25 / $532.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$551.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$510.54Range

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