US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish87%
3M Upside probability 87%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.78 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $90.02 (18.16%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$433.09Bullish
EMA 21$366.34Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $90.02 · BB 90.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.3 · OBV 4.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.78 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.23% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$645.47
Nearest resistance

+12.07% · 0.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$495.63
Nearest support

-73.61% · 4.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$130.78
Deeper support zone

-91.78% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$40.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$405.61 - $585.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 26.8 / 14.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$148.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.51 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$90.02 (18.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.44%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$570.47 / $174.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$405.61 / $585.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 56.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 26.8 / 14.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$148.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.51 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 56.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$90.02 (18.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.44%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$570.47 / $174.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$405.61 / $585.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

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