US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish84%
3M Upside probability 84%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.78 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $85.5 (16.52%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$454.84Bullish
EMA 21$381.51Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $85.5 · BB 94.22%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.8 · OBV 23.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.78 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.85% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$640.95
Nearest resistance

+7.33% · 0.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$517.53
Nearest support

-74.73% · 4.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$130.78
Deeper support zone

-91.25% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

$45.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$432.03 - $603.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.8 / 23.4 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.99 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.5 (16.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.22%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$574.68 / $201.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$432.03 / $603.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.6 / 71.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

121.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.03%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.8 / 23.4 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.99 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.6 / 71.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

121.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.5 (16.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.22%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$574.68 / $201.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$432.03 / $603.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.03%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

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