US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish72%
3M Upside probability 72%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $196.41 and reclaim $555.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $196.41 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $83.43 (22.31%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$415.54Bearish
EMA 21$352.3Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $83.43 · BB 90.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.3 · OBV -1.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$196.41 - $555.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+70.79% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$638.63
Nearest resistance

+48.48% · 2.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$555.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$373.93
Nearest support

-47.47% · 2.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$196.41
Deeper support zone

-69.79% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$112.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$290.5 - $457.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.2, invalidation $356.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$83.43 (22.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.63%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$538.34 / $181.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$290.5 / $457.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.0 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.2, invalidation $356.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$147.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.0 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$83.43 (22.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.63%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$538.34 / $181.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$290.5 / $457.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.41Range

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