US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish79%
3M Upside probability 79%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.78 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $81.29 (21.1%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$408.55Bearish
EMA 21$356.3Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $81.29 · BB 86.99%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -0.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.78 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.3% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$636.74
Nearest resistance

+44.2% · 2.1 ATR above · 29-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$385.2
Nearest support

-66.05% · 3.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$130.78
Deeper support zone

-87.15% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$49.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$303.91 - $466.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.1 / 25.1 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.51 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.29 (21.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 86.99%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$535.51 / $188.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$303.91 / $466.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 43.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.1 / 25.1 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.51 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 43.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.29 (21.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 86.99%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$535.51 / $188.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$303.91 / $466.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

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