US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish84%
3M Upside probability 84%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.78 and reclaim $559.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $88.4 (16.9%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$456.05Bullish
EMA 21$382.01Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.2 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $88.4 · BB 94.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.6 · OBV 26.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.78 - $559.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.81% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$647.55
Nearest resistance

+6.91% · 0.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$559.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523
Nearest support

-74.99% · 4.4 ATR below · 30-bar low

$130.78
Deeper support zone

-91.9% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$42.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$434.6 - $611.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 25.6 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$241.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.84 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$88.4 (16.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.57%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$583.33 / $193.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$434.6 / $611.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.5 / 72.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

131.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 25.6 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$241.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.84 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.5 / 72.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

131.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$88.4 (16.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.57%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$583.33 / $193.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$434.6 / $611.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

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