US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish84%
3M Upside probability 84%Bullish

MSFT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $130.78 and reclaim $555.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $130.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $87.52 (16.4%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$458.43Bullish
EMA 21$382.98Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $87.52 · BB 95.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.2 · OBV 23.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$130.78 - $555.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.48% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$642.97
Nearest resistance

+4.08% · 0.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$555.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$533.69
Nearest support

-75.5% · 4.6 ATR below · 30-bar low

$130.78
Deeper support zone

-91.89% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$43.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$446.17 - $621.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 25.2 / 14.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.99 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$87.52 (16.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 95.29%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$581.88 / $196.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$446.17 / $621.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.2 / 73.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

132.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $555.45, invalidation $349.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 25.2 / 14.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.99 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.2 / 73.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

132.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$87.52 (16.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 95.29%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$581.88 / $196.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$446.17 / $621.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$555.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$130.78Range

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