US stock / ETF

Microchip Technology Incorporated

MCHP · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish64%
Monthly Upside probability 64%Bullish

MCHP 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $34.13 and reclaim $105.91.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $34.13 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.9, MACD 1.894

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.41 (19.71%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$77.73Bearish
EMA 21$73.79Bearish
EMA 50$71.46Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD 1.894

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $14.41 · BB 78.97%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.8 · OBV -340.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$34.13 - $105.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.6% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$120.32
Nearest resistance

+44.89% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$73.1
Nearest support

-53.31% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$34.13
Deeper support zone

-73.02% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$19.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.69 - $87.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.91, invalidation $59.31

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 28.6 / 24.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.64 / $70.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.41 (19.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.97%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.07 / $40.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.69 / $87.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$34.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.894Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 54.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-340.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.91, invalidation $59.31

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 28.6 / 24.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.64 / $70.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.894Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 54.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.41 (19.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.97%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.07 / $40.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.69 / $87.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-340.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$34.13Range

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