US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

EXC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $42.82 and stabilize above resistance $44.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $44.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.3, MACD 0.012

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4090 (0.96%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$42.51Bullish
EMA 21$42.82Bearish
EMA 50$43.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.3 · MACD 0.012

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.4090 · BB 3.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV 1.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$42.2 - $44.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.61% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$44.94
Nearest resistance

+4.65% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$44.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$42.56
Nearest support

-0.85% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$42.2
Deeper support zone

-1.81% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$41.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$42.15 - $42.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $42.2, invalidation $42.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 26.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.8 / $43.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4090 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$43.53 / $42.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.15 / $42.96Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$44.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.012Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 20.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $42.2, invalidation $42.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 26.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.8 / $43.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.012Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 20.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4090 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$43.53 / $42.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.15 / $42.96Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$44.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.2Range

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