US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

EXC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $46.73 and stabilize above resistance $48.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $48.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6343 (1.37%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$46.63Bearish
EMA 21$46.73Bearish
EMA 50$46.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -0.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6343 · BB 3.89%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV -11.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$45.01 - $48.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.69% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$49.03
Nearest resistance

+4.32% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$48.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$46.39
Nearest support

-2.97% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$45.01
Deeper support zone

-4.34% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$44.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$45.76 - $47.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $47.6, invalidation $45.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 26.8 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.41 / $46.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6343 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.89%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.24 / $45.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.76 / $47.02Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$45.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 57.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $47.6, invalidation $45.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 26.8 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.41 / $46.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 57.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6343 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.89%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.24 / $45.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.76 / $47.02Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$45.01Range

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