US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

VST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.09 and stabilize above resistance $168.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -1.654

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.14 (4.98%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$146.12Bearish
EMA 21$148.09Bearish
EMA 50$147.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -1.654

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.14 · BB 22.50%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.9 · OBV 11.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$133.44 - $168.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.69% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$175.89
Nearest resistance

+17.71% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$143.36
Nearest support

-6.92% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$133.44
Deeper support zone

-11.9% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$126.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$136.22 - $150.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.17, invalidation $158.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 17.1 / 37.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$125.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.27 / $151.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.14 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.50%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.85 / $134.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.22 / $150.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 24.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.17, invalidation $158.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 17.1 / 37.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$125.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.27 / $151.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 24.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.14 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.50%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.85 / $134.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$136.22 / $150.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.44Range

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