US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

VST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $150.58 and stabilize above resistance $171.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $171.35 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.9, MACD -1.858

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.69 (5.46%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$144.93Bearish
EMA 21$150.58Bearish
EMA 50$153.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.9 · MACD -1.858

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.69 · BB 23.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.7 · OBV -8.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$134.75 - $171.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.16% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$179.04
Nearest resistance

+21.7% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$171.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$140.8
Nearest support

-4.3% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$134.75
Deeper support zone

-9.76% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$127.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$133.11 - $148.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.16, invalidation $156.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 19.8 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.06 / $153.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.69 (5.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.21%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.43 / $134.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.11 / $148.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$171.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$134.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.858Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 7.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.16, invalidation $156.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 19.8 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.06 / $153.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.858Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 7.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.69 (5.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.21%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.43 / $134.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$133.11 / $148.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$171.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$134.75Range

Related Forecasts