US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish60%
3M Downside probability 60%Bearish

EXC 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $43.34 and stabilize above resistance $58.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $58.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.05 (14.22%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$44.01Bearish
EMA 21$43.34Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.05 · BB 49.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.2 · OBV -18785.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$29.28 - $58.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.98% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$64.26
Nearest resistance

+36.76% · 2.6 ATR above · 29-bar high

$58.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$42.57
Nearest support

-31.21% · 2.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$29.28
Deeper support zone

-45.43% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$23.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$36.51 - $48.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.65, invalidation $42.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.0 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.05 (14.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.37%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.76 / $30.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.51 / $48.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.3 / 73.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18785.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.65, invalidation $42.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.0 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.3 / 73.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.05 (14.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.37%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.76 / $30.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.51 / $48.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18785.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.28Range

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