US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish71%
3M Downside probability 71%Bearish

EXC 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $43.01 and stabilize above resistance $58.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $58.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.02 (14.47%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$43.11Bearish
EMA 21$43.01Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.02 · BB 38.24%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.9 · OBV -394.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$29.28 - $58.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.24% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$64.24
Nearest resistance

+39.78% · 2.7 ATR above · 30-bar high

$58.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$41.65
Nearest support

-29.69% · 2.1 ATR below · 30-bar low

$29.28
Deeper support zone

-44.16% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$23.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$35.62 - $47.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $33.35, invalidation $50.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.1 / 10.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.54 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.02 (14.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.24%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.41 / $30.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.62 / $47.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.0 / 55.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-394.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $33.35, invalidation $50.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.1 / 10.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.54 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.0 / 55.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.02 (14.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.24%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$55.41 / $30.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$35.62 / $47.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-394.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$29.28Range

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