US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish78%
Daily Downside probability 78%Bearish

EXC 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $46.19 and stabilize above resistance $48.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $48.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.7, MACD -0.153

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9861 (2.16%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$45.8Bearish
EMA 21$46.19Bearish
EMA 50$46.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.7 · MACD -0.153

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9861 · BB 6.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.7 · OBV -8.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$44.74 - $48.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.59% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$49.53
Nearest resistance

+6.42% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$48.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$45.61
Nearest support

-1.92% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$44.74
Deeper support zone

-4.08% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$43.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$44.62 - $46.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $46.27, invalidation $44.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 23.7 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.41 / $46.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9861 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.36 / $44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44.62 / $46.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$44.74Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 19.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $46.27, invalidation $44.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 23.7 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.41 / $46.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 19.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9861 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.36 / $44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44.62 / $46.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$44.74Range

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