US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

EXC 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $45.02 and stabilize above resistance $48.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $48.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD -0.106

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7007 (1.59%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$44.37Bearish
EMA 21$45.02Bearish
EMA 50$45.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD -0.106

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7007 · BB 6.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.8 · OBV -3.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$43.61 - $48.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.89% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$49.19
Nearest resistance

+10.29% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$48.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$43.96
Nearest support

-0.8% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$43.61
Deeper support zone

-2.39% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$42.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$43.26 - $44.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.75, invalidation $44.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 20.4 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$45.53 / $46.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7007 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.07%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$46.44 / $43.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.26 / $44.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$43.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.75, invalidation $44.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 20.4 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$45.53 / $46.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7007 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.07%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$46.44 / $43.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.26 / $44.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$48.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$43.61Range

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