US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish82%
12h Downside probability 82%Bearish

EXC 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $44.74 and stabilize above resistance $46.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD -0.042

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5261 (1.19%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$44.28Bearish
EMA 21$44.74Bearish
EMA 50$45.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD -0.042

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5261 · BB 5.85%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.9 · OBV -5.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$43.69 - $46.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.36% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$46.95
Nearest resistance

+5.17% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$44.14
Nearest support

-1.02% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$43.69
Deeper support zone

-2.21% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$43.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$43.61 - $44.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $46.42, invalidation $43.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 25.3 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.82 / $46.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5261 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.85%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.76 / $43.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.61 / $44.67Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$43.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 14.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $46.42, invalidation $43.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 25.3 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.82 / $46.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 14.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5261 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.85%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.76 / $43.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.61 / $44.67Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$43.69Range

Related Forecasts