US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

EXC 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $44 and stabilize above resistance $50.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $50.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD -0.708

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.75 (9.02%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$43.8Bearish
EMA 21$44Bearish
EMA 50$43.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD -0.708

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.75 · BB 19.16%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.1 · OBV -16.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$33.35 - $50.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.83% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$54.4
Nearest resistance

+21.81% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$50.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$41.58
Nearest support

-19.81% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$33.35
Deeper support zone

-28.82% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$29.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$37.83 - $45.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $48.54, invalidation $43.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 19.8 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.24 / $42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.75 (9.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.16%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.84 / $36.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$37.83 / $45.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$33.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 11.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $48.54, invalidation $43.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 19.8 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$44.24 / $42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 11.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.75 (9.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.16%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.84 / $36.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$37.83 / $45.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$33.35Range

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