US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

EXC 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $45.93 and stabilize above resistance $50.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $50.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -0.308

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2 (4.53%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$45.35Bearish
EMA 21$45.93Bearish
EMA 50$45.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -0.308

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2 · BB 10.79%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.2 · OBV -154.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$42.76 - $50.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.28% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$52.65
Nearest resistance

+14.75% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$50.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$44.14
Nearest support

-3.14% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$42.76
Deeper support zone

-7.66% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$40.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$42.14 - $46.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $48.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.1 / 9.8 / 13.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.52 / $46.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2 (4.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.79%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.12 / $41.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.14 / $46.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.308Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 21.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-154.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $48.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.1 / 9.8 / 13.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.52 / $46.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.308Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 21.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2 (4.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.79%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.12 / $41.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.14 / $46.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-154.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.76Range

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