US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

EXC 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $44.11 and stabilize above resistance $50.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $50.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -0.536

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.88 (4.53%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$42.4Bearish
EMA 21$44.11Bearish
EMA 50$44.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -0.536

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.88 · BB 19.71%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 11.8 · OBV -8.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$39.73 - $50.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.34% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$52.53
Nearest resistance

+21.81% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$50.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$41.58
Nearest support

-4.45% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$39.73
Deeper support zone

-8.98% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$37.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$39.7 - $43.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $39.73, invalidation $46.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.2 / 5.0 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$36.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.64 / $45.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.88 (4.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.71%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$47.19 / $40.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.7 / $43.46Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$39.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.536Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.0 / 13.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $39.73, invalidation $46.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.2 / 5.0 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$36.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$43.64 / $45.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.536Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.0 / 13.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.88 (4.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.71%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$47.19 / $40.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.7 / $43.46Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$39.73Range

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