US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish83%
Weekly Downside probability 83%Bearish

EXC 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $45.21 and stabilize above resistance $50.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $50.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD -0.440

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.9 (4.47%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$44.1Bearish
EMA 21$45.21Bearish
EMA 50$45.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD -0.440

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.9 · BB 13.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.8 · OBV -188.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$42.14 - $50.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.49% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$52.55
Nearest resistance

+19.02% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$50.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$42.56
Nearest support

-0.99% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$42.14
Deeper support zone

-5.45% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$40.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$40.65 - $44.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $46.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 8.1 / 15.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$45.72 / $46.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.9 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.49%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.91 / $41.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$40.65 / $44.46Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.14Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 5.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-170.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-188.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $46.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 8.1 / 15.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$45.72 / $46.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 5.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-170.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.9 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.49%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$48.91 / $41.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$40.65 / $44.46Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-188.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.14Range

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