US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish77%
Weekly Downside probability 77%Bearish

EXC 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $46.44 and stabilize above resistance $50.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $50.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.017

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.12 (4.58%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$46.57Bearish
EMA 21$46.44Bearish
EMA 50$45.67Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.017

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.12 · BB 13.98%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.3 · OBV -122.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$42.76 - $50.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.07% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$52.77
Nearest resistance

+9.49% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$50.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$46.26
Nearest support

-7.58% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$42.76
Deeper support zone

-12.16% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$40.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$44.14 - $48.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $46.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 14.5 / 23.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.5 / $46.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (4.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.98%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.45 / $42.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44.14 / $48.38Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.017Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.5 / 58.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $43.27, invalidation $46.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 14.5 / 23.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$46.5 / $46.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.017Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.5 / 58.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (4.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.98%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.45 / $42.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44.14 / $48.38Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-122.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$50.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.76Range

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