US stock / ETF

Exelon Corporation

EXC · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish64%
1h Downside probability 64%Bearish

EXC 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $42.52 and stabilize above resistance $43.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $43.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.7, MACD 0.023

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1741 (0.41%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$42.46Bearish
EMA 21$42.52Bearish
EMA 50$42.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD 0.023

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1741 · BB 1.41%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 71.7 · OBV 0.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$42.2 - $43.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.14% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$43.29
Nearest resistance

+1.73% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$43.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$42.39
Nearest support

-0.45% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$42.2
Deeper support zone

-0.86% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$42.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$42.21 - $42.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $42.7, invalidation $42.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 31.2 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.53 / $43.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1741 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$42.85 / $42.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.21 / $42.56Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$43.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 47.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-33.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $42.7, invalidation $42.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 31.2 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.53 / $43.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 47.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-33.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1741 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$42.85 / $42.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$42.21 / $42.56Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$43.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$42.2Range

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